World Kinect Corporation (WKC) Fair Value 2026

WKC · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (19/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, World Kinect Corporation (WKC) trades at $35.45, versus a $41.84 median fair value across its 7 active models — 18.0% above the current price. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 19/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $41.84.

Key Facts

Ticker
WKC
Price
$35.45
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
19/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +18.0% upside with 67% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (7/13) may reduce confidence

Is World Kinect Corporation (WKC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, World Kinect Corporation (WKC) appears undervalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $41.84, 18.0% above the current price of $35.45. Estimates range from $23.41 to $115.50. WKC scores 7.4/10 on fundamental quality and 19/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. WKC’s +18.0% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector median is -25.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy World Kinect Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give WKC?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($35.45)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $41.84 +18.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $23.54 -33.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $38.60 +8.9%
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What Is WKC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $23.41 to $115.50

CirclFi's 7 active models place World Kinect Corporation (WKC) between $23.41 and $115.50 per share, a spread of 220% of the median. The median of that range — $41.84 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for WKC, against a current price of $35.45.

Low · Regime CrossHigh · PWERM
$23.41median $41.84$115.50
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$23.41
Most bullish modelPWERM$115.50
Model agreement5 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for WKC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on WKC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is World Kinect Corporation (WKC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, World Kinect Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $41.84. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $35.45 (implied upside of +18.0%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 5 of 7 bullish models. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +225.8% (fair value: $115.50), while Regime Cross is the most conservative at -34.0% ($23.41). The spread between these extremes — +259.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About WKC?

7 of 13 models are currently active for WKC. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for WKC is $41.84 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $41.84 on its own, implying +18.0% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does WKC Rank in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing?

Among 19 Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, WKC ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space, World Kinect Corporation competes in an environment where finding and development costs (F&D) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is WKC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns WKC a score of 19/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for World Kinect Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, World Kinect Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 7.4/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +259.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every WKC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across WKC's 7 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy World Kinect Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks with 13-model coverage

DKDelek US Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.6CVICVR Energy, Inc.QOC 7.3SUNSunoco LPQOC 7.7CAPLCrossAmerica Partners LPQOC 7.1DINOHF Sinclair CorporationQOC 8.1DKLDelek Logistics Partners, LPQOC 6.8BDCOBlue Dolphin Energy CompanyQOC 6.6DLXYDelixy Holdings LimitedQOC 2.7PSXPhillips 66QOC 8.3UGPUltrapar Participações S.A.QOC 8.8PARRPar Pacific Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: DK · CVI · SUN · CAPL · DINO · DKL · BDCO · DLXY · PSX · UGP · PARR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to WKC?

7 companies across all industries closest to WKC’s Quality of Company score of 7.4/10.

NNINelnet, Inc.QOC 7.4LXFRLuxfer Holdings PLCQOC 7.4SBUXStarbucks CorporationQOC 7.4FPIFarmland Partners Inc.QOC 7.4PFGPrincipal Financial Group, Inc.QOC 7.4OCFCOceanFirst Financial Corp.QOC 7.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: NNI · LXFR · SBUX · FPI · PFG · OCFC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About World Kinect Corporation’s Valuation?

What is World Kinect Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts World Kinect Corporation (WKC)'s intrinsic value at $41.84 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $23.41 to $115.50. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $41.84 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is WKC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $35.45, 5 of 7 active models suggest WKC may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $41.84, 18.0% above the current price of $35.45 — a consensus view that WKC is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits World Kinect Corporation's business model in Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for WKC?

World Kinect Corporation's QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on WKC?

CirclFi analyzes WKC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on WKC?

Of the 7 models currently active on WKC, PWERM is the most bullish at $115.50 per share, and Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bearish at $23.41. CirclFi's published fair value for WKC is the median of that range, $41.84, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 220% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is WKC a value trap in 2026?

World Kinect Corporation's Value Trap score is 19/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, World Kinect Corporation (WKC) has a median fair value of $41.84 — 18.0% above the current price of $35.45 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/WKC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this WKC valuation
  • Financial statements: World Kinect Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000789460) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for WKC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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