Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) Fair Value 2026

CGNT · Software - Infrastructure ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (15/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) trades at $8.80, versus a $6.76 median fair value across its 8 active models — 23.2% below the current price. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 15/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $3.24.

Key Facts

Ticker
CGNT
Price
$8.80
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
15/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: 8 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $6.76, 23.2% below the current price of $8.80. Estimates range from $3.24 to $20.73. CGNT scores 7.4/10 on fundamental quality and 15/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. CGNT’s -23.2% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Software - Infrastructure sector median is -23.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Cognyte Software Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CGNT?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($8.80)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $3.24 -63.2%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $6.15 -30.1%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $7.94 -9.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.73 -46.2%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 4 additional models including Regime Cross-Sectional, Sentiment SOTP, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 8 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is CGNT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $3.24 to $20.73

CirclFi's 8 active models place Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) between $3.24 and $20.73 per share, a spread of 259% of the median. The median of that range — $6.76 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CGNT, against a current price of $8.80.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$3.24median $6.76$20.73
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$3.24
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$20.73
Model agreement1 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CGNT. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CGNT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Cognyte Software Ltd.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $6.76. Trading at its current price of $8.80, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 6 of 8 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -23.2%. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $20.73 (+135.6%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $3.24 (-63.2%). This +198.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Cognyte Software Ltd.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About CGNT?

8 of 13 models are currently active for CGNT. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CGNT is $6.76 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $3.24 on its own, implying -63.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CGNT Rank in Software - Infrastructure?

Among 189 Software - Infrastructure stocks, CGNT ranks #65 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Software - Infrastructure Stocks →

The Software - Infrastructure sector introduces analytical considerations specific to technology businesses. For Cognyte Software Ltd., metrics like free cash flow margin provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is CGNT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CGNT a score of 15/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Cognyte Software Ltd.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Cognyte Software Ltd. scores 7.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +198.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CGNT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CGNT's 8 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Cognyte Software Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Infrastructure Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Software - Infrastructure stocks with 13-model coverage

TENBTenable Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.4GTLBGitLab Inc.QOC 7.4HPAIHelport AI LimitedQOC 7.6SKKYSkkynet Cloud Systems, Inc.QOC 7.2WIXWix.com Ltd.QOC 7.6FATNFatPipe, Inc.QOC 7.2CETXCemtrex, Inc.QOC 5.7AIBAIB Data Centers Inc.QOC 4.0OKTAOkta, Inc.QOC 9.0FTNTFortinet, Inc.QOC 9.7QLYSQualys, Inc.QOC 9.7

Read investment analysis: TENB · GTLB · HPAI · SKKY · WIX · FATN · CETX · AIB · OKTA · FTNT · QLYS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CGNT?

7 companies across all industries closest to CGNT’s Quality of Company score of 7.4/10.

CLBKColumbia Financial, Inc.QOC 7.4KTOSKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.QOC 7.4EIXEdison InternationalQOC 7.4HGVHilton Grand Vacations Inc.QOC 7.4CVSCVS Health CorporationQOC 7.4AFRMAffirm Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CLBK · KTOS · EIX · HGV · CVS · AFRM · NVDA

Where Does CGNT Sit in CirclFi's Software - Infrastructure Rankings?

CGNT is ranked against every other Software - Infrastructure stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Software - Infrastructure stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Cognyte Software Ltd.’s Valuation?

What is Cognyte Software Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT)'s intrinsic value at $6.76 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $3.24 to $20.73. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $3.24 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CGNT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $8.80, 1 of 8 active models suggest CGNT may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $6.76, 23.2% below the current price of $8.80 — a consensus view that CGNT is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Cognyte Software Ltd.'s business model in Software - Infrastructure.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for CGNT?

Cognyte Software Ltd.'s QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CGNT?

CirclFi analyzes CGNT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CGNT?

Of the 8 models currently active on CGNT, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $20.73 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $3.24. CirclFi's published fair value for CGNT is the median of that range, $6.76, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 259% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CGNT a value trap in 2026?

Cognyte Software Ltd.'s Value Trap score is 15/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Cognyte Software Ltd. (CGNT) has a median fair value of $6.76 — 23.2% below the current price of $8.80 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CGNT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CGNT valuation
  • Financial statements: Cognyte Software Ltd. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001824814) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CGNT as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 8 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on CGNT.

Unlock All 8 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

4 models hidden for CGNT Unlock All 8 — $39/mo