TELUS Corporation (TU) Fair Value 2026

TU · Telecom Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-31, TELUS Corporation (TU) trades at $9.68, versus a $15.18 median fair value across its 9 active models — 56.8% above the current price. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $26.69.

Key Facts

Ticker
TU
Price
$9.68
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +175.7% upside with 69% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (9/13) may reduce confidence

Is TELUS Corporation (TU) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, TELUS Corporation (TU) appears undervalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $15.18, 56.8% above the current price of $9.68. Estimates range from $7.39 to $26.69. TU scores 7.4/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,804 rated companies as of 2026-08-31. TU’s +56.8% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Telecom Services sector median is +31.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy TELUS Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TU?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($9.68)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $26.69 +175.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $15.69 +62.1%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $15.18 +56.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $8.98 -7.3%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 5 additional models including Markov DDM, Regime Cross-Sectional, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 9 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is TU's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $7.39 to $26.69

CirclFi's 9 active models place TELUS Corporation (TU) between $7.39 and $26.69 per share, a spread of 127% of the median. The median of that range — $15.18 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for TU, against a current price of $9.68.

Low · Sentiment SOTPHigh · Bayesian DCF
$7.39median $15.18$26.69
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelSentiment SOTP$7.39
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$26.69
Model agreement5 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for TU. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on TU, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is TELUS Corporation (TU) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, TELUS Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $15.18. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $9.68 (implied upside of +56.8%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 5 of 9 bullish models. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at +175.7% (fair value: $26.69), while Sentiment SOTP is the most conservative at -23.6% ($7.39). The spread between these extremes — +199.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About TU?

9 of 13 models are currently active for TU. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for TU is $15.18 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $26.69 on its own, implying +175.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TU Rank in Telecom Services?

Among 56 Telecom Services stocks, TU ranks #18 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Telecom Services Stocks →

Within the Telecom Services space, TELUS Corporation competes in an environment where average revenue per user (ARPU) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is TU a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TU a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for TELUS Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, TELUS Corporation is rated at 7.4/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +199.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TU valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TU's 9 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy TELUS Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Telecom Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Telecom Services stocks with 13-model coverage

KYIVKyivstar Group Ltd.QOC 7.5ADArray Digital Infrastructure, Inc.QOC 7.4TLKPerusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia TbkQOC 7.5AMXAmérica Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V.QOC 7.4SKMSK Telecom Co., Ltd.QOC 7.6GOGOGogo Inc.QOC 7.3ECHOEchoStar CorporationQOC 6.1OPTUOptimum Communications, Inc.QOC 5.2BCEBCE Inc.QOC 8.6IRDMIridium Communications Inc.QOC 8.7IDTIDT CorporationQOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: KYIV · AD · TLK · AMX · SKM · GOGO · ECHO · OPTU · BCE · IRDM · IDT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TU?

7 companies across all industries closest to TU’s Quality of Company score of 7.4/10.

MRBKMeridian CorporationQOC 7.4CPHCCanterbury Park Holding CorporationQOC 7.4HSHPHimalaya Shipping Ltd.QOC 7.4SAMGSilvercrest Asset Management Group Inc.QOC 7.4TYFGTri-County Financial Group, Inc.QOC 7.4KNTKKinetik Holdings Inc.QOC 7.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MRBK · CPHC · HSHP · SAMG · TYFG · KNTK · NVDA

Where Does TU Sit in CirclFi's Telecom Services Rankings?

TU is ranked against every other Telecom Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Telecom Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About TELUS Corporation’s Valuation?

What is TELUS Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts TELUS Corporation (TU)'s intrinsic value at $15.18 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-31, ranging from $7.39 to $26.69. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $26.69 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TU overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $9.68, 5 of 9 active models suggest TU may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $15.18, 56.8% above the current price of $9.68 — a consensus view that TU is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits TELUS Corporation's business model in Telecom Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for TU?

TELUS Corporation's QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TU?

CirclFi analyzes TU with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on TU?

Of the 9 models currently active on TU, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $26.69 per share, and Sentiment SOTP is the most bearish at $7.39. CirclFi's published fair value for TU is the median of that range, $15.18, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 127% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is TU a value trap in 2026?

TELUS Corporation's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, TELUS Corporation (TU) has a median fair value of $15.18 — 56.8% above the current price of $9.68 — as of 2026-08-31.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TU/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TU valuation
  • Financial statements: TELUS Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000868675) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for TU as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 9 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on TU.

Unlock All 9 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

5 models hidden for TU Unlock All 9 — $39/mo