Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) Fair Value 2026

TLK · Telecom Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-31, Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) trades at $14.58, versus a $28.21 median fair value across its 9 active models — 93.5% above the current price. QOC: 7.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $82.22.

Key Facts

Ticker
TLK
Price
$14.58
Quality Score
7.5/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +463.9% upside with 22% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (9/13) may reduce confidence

Is Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) appears undervalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $28.21, 93.5% above the current price of $14.58. Estimates range from $2.17 to $82.22. TLK scores 7.5/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,804 rated companies as of 2026-08-31. TLK’s +93.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Telecom Services sector median is +31.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TLK?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($14.58)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $82.22 +463.9%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $40.46 +177.5%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $32.90 +125.6%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $17.73 +21.6%
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What Is TLK's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $2.17 to $82.22

CirclFi's 9 active models place Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) between $2.17 and $82.22 per share, a spread of 284% of the median. The median of that range — $28.21 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for TLK, against a current price of $14.58.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Bayesian DCF
$2.17median $28.21$82.22
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$2.17
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$82.22
Model agreement8 bullish · 1 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for TLK. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on TLK, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $28.21. At a current market price of $14.58, 8 of 9 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +93.5%. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at +463.9% (fair value: $82.22), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -85.1% ($2.17). The spread between these extremes — +549.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About TLK?

9 of 13 models are currently active for TLK. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for TLK is $28.21 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $82.22 on its own, implying +463.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TLK Rank in Telecom Services?

Among 56 Telecom Services stocks, TLK ranks #16 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.5 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Telecom Services Stocks →

Within the Telecom Services space, Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk competes in an environment where EBITDA margin often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is TLK a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TLK a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk's fundamental quality profile registers 7.5/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +549.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TLK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TLK's 9 active models, average confidence is 18%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Telecom Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Telecom Services stocks with 13-model coverage

SKMSK Telecom Co., Ltd.QOC 7.6KYIVKyivstar Group Ltd.QOC 7.5VZVerizon Communications Inc.QOC 7.7TUTELUS CorporationQOC 7.4VIVTelefônica Brasil S.A.QOC 7.8ADArray Digital Infrastructure, Inc.QOC 7.4SIFYSify Technologies LimitedQOC 6.3KTELKonaTel, Inc.QOC 5.6IDTIDT CorporationQOC 8.6IRDMIridium Communications Inc.QOC 8.7

Read investment analysis: SKM · KYIV · VZ · TU · VIV · AD · SIFY · KTEL · IDT · IRDM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TLK?

7 companies across all industries closest to TLK’s Quality of Company score of 7.5/10.

HMCHonda Motor Co., Ltd.QOC 7.5ACIAlbertsons Companies, Inc.QOC 7.5MSGSMadison Square Garden Sports Corp.QOC 7.5HBBHamilton Beach Brands Holding CompanyQOC 7.5SNYSanofiQOC 7.5RHRHQOC 7.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: HMC · ACI · MSGS · HBB · SNY · RH · NVDA

Where Does TLK Sit in CirclFi's Telecom Services Rankings?

TLK is ranked against every other Telecom Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Telecom Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk’s Valuation?

What is Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK)'s intrinsic value at $28.21 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-31, ranging from $2.17 to $82.22. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $82.22 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TLK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $14.58, 8 of 9 active models suggest TLK may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $28.21, 93.5% above the current price of $14.58 — a consensus view that TLK is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk's business model in Telecom Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.5 mean for TLK?

Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk's QOC of 7.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TLK?

CirclFi analyzes TLK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on TLK?

Of the 9 models currently active on TLK, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $82.22 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $2.17. CirclFi's published fair value for TLK is the median of that range, $28.21, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 284% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is TLK a value trap in 2026?

Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) has a median fair value of $28.21 — 93.5% above the current price of $14.58 — as of 2026-08-31.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TLK/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TLK valuation

Market data for TLK as of ; valuations recomputed .

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