Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI) Fair Value 2026

SGI · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (37/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI) trades at $62.48, versus a $27.78 median fair value across its 12 active models — 55.5% below the current price. QOC: 7.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 37/100 (LOW). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $61.23.

Key Facts

Ticker
SGI
Price
$62.48
Quality Score
7.5/10
Value Trap Risk
37/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +18.2% upside with 59% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI) appears overvalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $27.78, 55.5% below the current price of $62.48. Estimates range from $10.62 to $73.88. SGI scores 7.5/10 on fundamental quality and 37/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. SGI’s -55.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances sector median is -14.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Somnigroup International Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SGI?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($62.48)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $61.23 -2.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $19.54 -68.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $30.44 -51.3%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $73.88 +18.2%
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What Is SGI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $10.62 to $73.88

CirclFi's 12 active models place Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI) between $10.62 and $73.88 per share, a spread of 228% of the median. The median of that range — $27.78 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SGI, against a current price of $62.48.

Low · EROICHigh · First Chicago
$10.62median $27.78$73.88
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$10.62
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$73.88
Model agreement2 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for SGI. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SGI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Somnigroup International Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $27.78, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $62.48. With 9 out of 12 models flagging downside (-55.5% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $73.88 (+18.2%), versus EROIC at $10.62 (-83.0%). This +101.2% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About SGI?

12 of 13 models are currently active for SGI. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for SGI is $27.78 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $61.23 on its own, implying -2.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SGI Rank in Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances?

Among 34 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, SGI ranks #17 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.5 indicates above-average quality.

Somnigroup International Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is SGI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SGI a score of 37/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Somnigroup International Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Somnigroup International Inc. is rated at 7.5/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +101.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SGI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SGI's 12 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Somnigroup International Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks with 13-model coverage

HBBHamilton Beach Brands Holding CompanyQOC 7.5CRWSCrown Crafts, Inc.QOC 7.1MHKMohawk Industries, Inc.QOC 7.6VIRCVirco Mfg. CorporationQOC 7.0MBCMasterBrand, Inc.QOC 7.8WHRWhirlpool CorporationQOC 7.0COOKTraeger, Inc.QOC 6.0SNTWSummit Networks Inc.QOC 4.5LZBLa-Z-Boy IncorporatedQOC 8.3ALHAlliance Laundry Holdings Inc.QOC 8.7FLXSFlexsteel Industries, Inc.QOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: HBB · CRWS · MHK · VIRC · MBC · WHR · COOK · SNTW · LZB · ALH · FLXS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SGI?

7 companies across all industries closest to SGI’s Quality of Company score of 7.5/10.

SUNBSunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.5SIBNSI-BONE, Inc.QOC 7.5RLJRLJ Lodging TrustQOC 7.5MICCThe Magnum Ice Cream Company N.V.QOC 7.5OLPOne Liberty Properties, Inc.QOC 7.5FSBWFS Bancorp, Inc.QOC 7.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SUNB · SIBN · RLJ · MICC · OLP · FSBW · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Somnigroup International Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Somnigroup International Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI)'s intrinsic value at $27.78 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $10.62 to $73.88. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $61.23 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SGI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $62.48, 2 of 12 active models suggest SGI may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $27.78, 55.5% below the current price of $62.48 — a consensus view that SGI is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Somnigroup International Inc.'s business model in Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.5 mean for SGI?

Somnigroup International Inc.'s QOC of 7.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SGI?

CirclFi analyzes SGI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SGI?

Of the 12 models currently active on SGI, First Chicago is the most bullish at $73.88 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $10.62. CirclFi's published fair value for SGI is the median of that range, $27.78, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 228% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SGI a value trap in 2026?

Somnigroup International Inc.'s Value Trap score is 37/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI) has a median fair value of $27.78 — 55.5% below the current price of $62.48 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SGI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SGI valuation
  • Financial statements: Somnigroup International Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001206264) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SGI as of ; valuations recomputed .

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