Virco Mfg. Corporation (VIRC) Fair Value 2026

VIRC · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (32/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Virco Mfg. Corporation (VIRC) trades at $5.98, versus a $6.24 median fair value across its 13 active models — 4.4% above the current price. QOC: 7.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 32/100 (LOW). 13/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $2.20.

Key Facts

Ticker
VIRC
Price
$5.98
Quality Score
7.0/10
Value Trap Risk
32/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +88.0% upside with 58% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Is Virco Mfg. Corporation (VIRC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, Virco Mfg. Corporation (VIRC) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 13 independent fair value estimates is $6.24, within 4.4% of the current price of $5.98. Estimates range from $1.28 to $11.24. VIRC scores 7.0/10 on fundamental quality and 32/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. VIRC’s +4.4% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances sector median is -14.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Virco Mfg. Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give VIRC?

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.98)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $2.20 -63.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.07 -32.0%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $6.24 +4.4%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $11.24 +88.0%
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What Is VIRC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 13 independent models · $1.28 to $11.24

CirclFi's 13 active models place Virco Mfg. Corporation (VIRC) between $1.28 and $11.24 per share, a spread of 160% of the median. The median of that range — $6.24 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for VIRC, against a current price of $5.98.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · First Chicago
$1.28median $6.24$11.24
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$1.28
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$11.24
Model agreement6 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for VIRC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on VIRC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Virco Mfg. Corporation (VIRC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Virco Mfg. Corporation presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $5.98. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $6.24 (+4.4% median upside), masking a wide model spread between the 6 bullish models and 6 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $11.24 (+88.0%), versus ML-RIV at $1.28 (-78.6%). This +166.6% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About VIRC?

13 of 13 models are currently active for VIRC. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for VIRC is $6.24 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $2.20 on its own, implying -63.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does VIRC Rank in Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances?

Among 34 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, VIRC ranks #19 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.0 indicates above-average quality.

Virco Mfg. Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is VIRC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns VIRC a score of 32/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Virco Mfg. Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Virco Mfg. Corporation earns a quality score of 7.0/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +166.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every VIRC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across VIRC's 13 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Virco Mfg. Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks with 13-model coverage

CRWSCrown Crafts, Inc.QOC 7.1WHRWhirlpool CorporationQOC 7.0SGISomnigroup International Inc.QOC 7.5HOFTHooker Furnishings CorporationQOC 6.4HBBHamilton Beach Brands Holding CompanyQOC 7.5LCUTLifetime Brands, Inc.QOC 6.4EFOIEnergy Focus, Inc.QOC 5.7FLXSFlexsteel Industries, Inc.QOC 8.6BSETBassett Furniture Industries, IncorporatedQOC 8.1ALHAlliance Laundry Holdings Inc.QOC 8.7

Read investment analysis: CRWS · WHR · SGI · HOFT · HBB · LCUT · EFOI · FLXS · BSET · ALH

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to VIRC?

7 companies across all industries closest to VIRC’s Quality of Company score of 7.0/10.

ONDSOndas Inc.QOC 7.0CSPICSP Inc.QOC 7.0ADTNADTRAN Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.0NRCNRC HealthQOC 7.0BWENBroadwind, Inc.QOC 7.0WECWEC Energy Group, Inc.QOC 7.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ONDS · CSPI · ADTN · NRC · BWEN · WEC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Virco Mfg. Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Virco Mfg. Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Virco Mfg. Corporation (VIRC)'s intrinsic value at $6.24 — the median of 13 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.28 to $11.24. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $2.20 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is VIRC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.98, 7 of 13 active models suggest VIRC may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 13 fair value estimates is $6.24, within 4.4% of the current price of $5.98 — a consensus view that VIRC is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Virco Mfg. Corporation's business model in Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.0 mean for VIRC?

Virco Mfg. Corporation's QOC of 7.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on VIRC?

CirclFi analyzes VIRC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on VIRC?

Of the 13 models currently active on VIRC, First Chicago is the most bullish at $11.24 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $1.28. CirclFi's published fair value for VIRC is the median of that range, $6.24, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 160% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is VIRC a value trap in 2026?

Virco Mfg. Corporation's Value Trap score is 32/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, Virco Mfg. Corporation (VIRC) has a median fair value of $6.24 — within 4.4% of the current price of $5.98 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/VIRC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this VIRC valuation
  • Financial statements: Virco Mfg. Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000751365) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for VIRC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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