Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) Fair Value 2026

VIRC · Public Bldg & Related Furniture ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) trades at $6.16, approximately 72% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $22.38. QOC: 9.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
VIRC
Price
$6.16
Quality Score
9.7/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +276.9% upside with 12% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($6.16)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $22.38 +263.3%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $7.28 +18.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $23.22 +276.9%
EROIC Spread
High Conviction
 $11.03 +79.0%

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What Is Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Virco Manufacturing Corporation is potentially undervalued at its current price of $6.16. Based on our 13-model framework, Virco Manufacturing Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $16.43 — representing +166.7% implied upside — with 9 out of 10 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: RCMH-DCF targets $34.03 (+452.5%), versus PWERM at $6.46 (+4.9%). This +447.6% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About VIRC?

10 of 13 models are currently active for VIRC. All 10 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates VIRC's intrinsic value at $22.38, implying +263.3% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does VIRC Rank in Public Bldg & Related Furniture?

Among 1 Public Bldg & Related Furniture stocks, VIRC ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.7 places VIRC in the top tier.

Virco Manufacturing Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is VIRC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns VIRC a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Virco Manufacturing Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Virco Manufacturing Corporation earns a quality score of 9.7/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +447.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every VIRC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across VIRC's 10 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Virco Manufacturing Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Frequently Asked Questions About Virco Manufacturing Corporation

What is Virco Manufacturing Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $22.38. The Quality of Company score is 9.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is VIRC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $6.16, 10 of 10 active models suggest VIRC may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Virco Manufacturing Corporation's business model in Public Bldg & Related Furniture.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.7 mean for VIRC?

Virco Manufacturing Corporation's QOC of 9.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on VIRC?

CirclFi analyzes VIRC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is VIRC a value trap in 2026?

Virco Manufacturing Corporation's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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