Inspired Entertainment, Inc. (INSE) Fair Value 2026

INSE · Gambling ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (13/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Inspired Entertainment, Inc. (INSE) trades at $3.97, versus a $9.11 median fair value across its 8 active models — 129.4% above the current price. QOC: 6.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 13/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $7.75.

Key Facts

Ticker
INSE
Price
$3.97
Quality Score
6.7/10
Value Trap Risk
13/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +140.4% upside with 4% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (8/13) may reduce confidence

Is Inspired Entertainment, Inc. (INSE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Inspired Entertainment, Inc. (INSE) appears undervalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $9.11, 129.4% above the current price of $3.97. Estimates range from $1.03 to $13.28. INSE scores 6.7/10 on fundamental quality and 13/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. INSE’s +129.4% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Inspired Entertainment, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give INSE?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.97)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $7.75 +95.3%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $9.54 +140.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.03 -74.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $8.67 +118.3%
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What Is INSE's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $1.03 to $13.28

CirclFi's 8 active models place Inspired Entertainment, Inc. (INSE) between $1.03 and $13.28 per share, a spread of 135% of the median. The median of that range — $9.11 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for INSE, against a current price of $3.97.

Low · EROICHigh · Regime Cross
$1.03median $9.11$13.28
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$1.03
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$13.28
Model agreement7 bullish · 1 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for INSE. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on INSE, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Inspired Entertainment, Inc. (INSE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Inspired Entertainment, Inc.. Trading at $3.97 against an estimated intrinsic value of $9.11, 7 of 8 active models flag meaningful upside of +129.4% at the median. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $13.28 (+234.6%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $1.03 (-74.0%). This +308.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Inspired Entertainment, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About INSE?

8 of 13 models are currently active for INSE. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for INSE is $9.11 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $7.75 on its own, implying +95.3% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does INSE Rank in Gambling?

Among 17 Gambling stocks, INSE ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.7 indicates above-average quality.

Inspired Entertainment, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is INSE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns INSE a score of 13/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Inspired Entertainment, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Inspired Entertainment, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.7/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +308.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every INSE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across INSE's 8 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Inspired Entertainment, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Gambling Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Gambling stocks with 13-model coverage

MRDNMeridian Holdings Inc.QOC 7.2FLUTFlutter Entertainment plcQOC 6.3CDROCodere Online Luxembourg, S.A.QOC 7.3BRAGBragg Gaming Group Inc.QOC 6.2DKNGDraftKings Inc.QOC 7.4ROLRHigh Roller Technologies, Inc.QOC 5.7VIPZVIP Play, Inc.QOC 5.1ACELAccel Entertainment, Inc.QOC 8.9LNWOLight & Wonder, Inc.QOC 8.0CHDNChurchill Downs IncorporatedQOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: MRDN · FLUT · CDRO · BRAG · DKNG · ROLR · VIPZ · ACEL · LNWO · CHDN

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to INSE?

7 companies across all industries closest to INSE’s Quality of Company score of 6.7/10.

INGNInogen, Inc.QOC 6.7CRCLCircle Internet GroupQOC 6.7RCELAVITA Medical, Inc.QOC 6.7NEWTNewtekOne, Inc.QOC 6.7FENCFennec Pharmaceuticals Inc.QOC 6.7GEOSGeospace Technologies CorporationQOC 6.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: INGN · CRCL · RCEL · NEWT · FENC · GEOS · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Inspired Entertainment, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Inspired Entertainment, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Inspired Entertainment, Inc. (INSE)'s intrinsic value at $9.11 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $1.03 to $13.28. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $7.75 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is INSE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.97, 7 of 8 active models suggest INSE may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $9.11, 129.4% above the current price of $3.97 — a consensus view that INSE is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Inspired Entertainment, Inc.'s business model in Gambling.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.7 mean for INSE?

Inspired Entertainment, Inc.'s QOC of 6.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on INSE?

CirclFi analyzes INSE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on INSE?

Of the 8 models currently active on INSE, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $13.28 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $1.03. CirclFi's published fair value for INSE is the median of that range, $9.11, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 135% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is INSE a value trap in 2026?

Inspired Entertainment, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 13/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Inspired Entertainment, Inc. (INSE) has a median fair value of $9.11 — 129.4% above the current price of $3.97 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/INSE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this INSE valuation
  • Financial statements: Inspired Entertainment, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001615063) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for INSE as of ; valuations recomputed .

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