Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS) Fair Value 2026

GEOS · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (22/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS) trades at $5.23, versus a $3.67 median fair value across its 3 active models — 29.7% below the current price. QOC: 6.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 22/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GEOS
Price
$5.23
Quality Score
6.7/10
Value Trap Risk
22/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +191.0% upside with 18% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $3.67, 29.7% below the current price of $5.23. Estimates range from $3.20 to $15.22. GEOS scores 6.7/10 on fundamental quality and 22/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. GEOS’s -29.7% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sector median is -15.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Geospace Technologies Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GEOS?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.23)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Scenario · High Conviction
 $3.67 -29.7%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $3.20 -38.8%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $15.22 +191.0%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is GEOS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $3.20 to $15.22

CirclFi's 3 active models place Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS) between $3.20 and $15.22 per share, a spread of 327% of the median. The median of that range — $3.67 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for GEOS, against a current price of $5.23.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Regime Cross
$3.20median $3.67$15.22
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$3.20
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$15.22
Model agreement1 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for GEOS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on GEOS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Geospace Technologies Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $3.67. Trading at $5.23, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -29.7%), as 2 of 3 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $15.22 (+191.0%), versus Dynamic NAV at $3.20 (-38.8%). This +229.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About GEOS?

3 of 13 models are currently active for GEOS. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for GEOS is $3.67 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GEOS Rank in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services?

Among 52 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, GEOS ranks #35 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.7 indicates above-average quality.

The Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sector introduces analytical considerations specific to energy producer businesses. For Geospace Technologies Corporation, metrics like reserve replacement ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is GEOS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GEOS a score of 22/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Geospace Technologies Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Geospace Technologies Corporation scores 6.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +229.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GEOS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GEOS's 3 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Geospace Technologies Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks with 13-model coverage

OISOil States International, Inc.QOC 6.8FETForum Energy Technologies, Inc.QOC 6.6WTTRSelect Water Solutions, Inc.QOC 6.8DWSNDawson Geophysical CompanyQOC 6.4NOANorth American Construction Group Ltd.QOC 6.9AESIAtlas Energy Solutions Inc.QOC 6.1EROKEagleRock Land LLCQOC 4.0NESRNational Energy Services Reunited Corp.QOC 8.4KGSKodiak Gas Services, Inc.QOC 7.9WHDCactus, Inc.QOC 9.2FTITechnipFMC plcQOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: OIS · FET · WTTR · DWSN · NOA · AESI · EROK · NESR · KGS · WHD · FTI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GEOS?

7 companies across all industries closest to GEOS’s Quality of Company score of 6.7/10.

OUSTOuster, Inc.QOC 6.7THRYThryv Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.7CCOClear Channel Outdoor Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.7EVCEntravision Communications CorporationQOC 6.7JACKJack in the Box Inc.QOC 6.7IRMIron Mountain IncorporatedQOC 6.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: OUST · THRY · CCO · EVC · JACK · IRM · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Geospace Technologies Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Geospace Technologies Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS)'s intrinsic value at $3.67 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $3.20 to $15.22. The Quality of Company score is 6.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GEOS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.23, 1 of 3 active models suggest GEOS may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $3.67, 29.7% below the current price of $5.23 — a consensus view that GEOS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Geospace Technologies Corporation's business model in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.7 mean for GEOS?

Geospace Technologies Corporation's QOC of 6.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GEOS?

CirclFi analyzes GEOS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on GEOS?

Of the 3 models currently active on GEOS, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $15.22 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $3.20. CirclFi's published fair value for GEOS is the median of that range, $3.67, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 327% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is GEOS a value trap in 2026?

Geospace Technologies Corporation's Value Trap score is 22/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS) has a median fair value of $3.67 — 29.7% below the current price of $5.23 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GEOS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GEOS valuation
  • Financial statements: Geospace Technologies Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001001115) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GEOS as of ; valuations recomputed .