Birchtech Corp. (BCHT) Fair Value 2026

BCHT · Pollution & Treatment Controls ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (26/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Birchtech Corp. (BCHT) trades at $1.24. QOC: 6.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 26/100 (LOW). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BCHT
Price
$1.24
Quality Score
6.2/10
Value Trap Risk
26/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: 1 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BCHT?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.24)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $0.52 -58.0%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Birchtech Corp. (BCHT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Birchtech Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.52, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $1.24. With 1 out of 1 models flagging downside (-58.0% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth.

What Do the Models Say About BCHT?

1 of 13 models are currently active for BCHT. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BCHT Rank in Pollution & Treatment Controls?

Among 22 Pollution & Treatment Controls stocks, BCHT ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.2 indicates above-average quality.

Birchtech Corp. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is BCHT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BCHT a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Birchtech Corp.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Birchtech Corp. is rated at 6.2/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BCHT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BCHT's 1 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Birchtech Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pollution & Treatment Controls Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Pollution & Treatment Controls stocks with 13-model coverage

ARQArq, Inc.QOC 6.6SCWO374Water Inc.QOC 6.0FTEKFuel Tech, Inc.QOC 7.5CLIRClearSign Technologies CorporationQOC 5.9ERIIEnergy Recovery, Inc.QOC 8.2ZONECleanCore Solutions, Inc.QOC 5.7TOMZTOMI Environmental Solutions, Inc.QOC 5.2RAKRRainmaker Worldwide Inc.QOC 4.5CECOCECO Environmental Corp.QOC 8.7ZWSZurn Elkay Water Solutions CorporationQOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: ARQ · SCWO · FTEK · CLIR · ERII · ZONE · TOMZ · RAKR · CECO · ZWS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BCHT?

7 companies across all industries closest to BCHT’s Quality of Company score of 6.2/10.

FMCFMC CorporationQOC 6.2SFIXStitch Fix, Inc.QOC 6.2DERMJourney Medical CorporationQOC 6.2SMTKSmartKem, Inc.QOC 6.2LILALiberty Latin America Ltd.QOC 6.2FNKOFunko, Inc.QOC 6.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: FMC · SFIX · DERM · SMTK · LILA · FNKO · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Birchtech Corp.’s Valuation?

What is Birchtech Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Birchtech Corp. (BCHT). The Quality of Company score is 6.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BCHT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.24, 0 of 1 active models suggest BCHT may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Birchtech Corp.'s business model in Pollution & Treatment Controls.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.2 mean for BCHT?

Birchtech Corp.'s QOC of 6.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BCHT?

CirclFi analyzes BCHT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is BCHT a value trap in 2026?

Birchtech Corp.'s Value Trap score is 26/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Birchtech Corp. (BCHT) a Quality of Company score of 6.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BCHT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BCHT valuation
  • Financial statements: Birchtech Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000728385) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for BCHT as of ; valuations recomputed .