What Is Energy Recovery, Inc. (ERII) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Energy Recovery, Inc. at its current price of $8.66. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $7.58 (-12.4% average return), with 9 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $27.36 (+216.0%), while First Chicago — the most conservative — estimates $0.71 (-91.8%). This +307.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Energy Recovery, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About ERII?
13 of 13 models are currently active for ERII. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ERII's intrinsic value at $4.94, implying -42.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ERII Rank in Special Industry Machinery, NEC?
Among 11 Special Industry Machinery, NEC stocks, ERII ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.0 places ERII in the top tier.
Within the Special Industry Machinery, NEC space, Energy Recovery, Inc. competes in an environment where book-to-bill ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is ERII a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for ERII. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Energy Recovery, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Energy Recovery, Inc. is rated at 9.0/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +307.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ERII valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ERII's 13 active models, average confidence is 38%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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