CECO Environmental Corp. (CECO) Fair Value 2026

CECO · Pollution & Treatment Controls ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (13/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, CECO Environmental Corp. (CECO) trades at $72.14, versus a $32.52 median fair value across its 7 active models — 54.9% below the current price. QOC: 8.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 13/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CECO
Price
$72.14
Quality Score
8.7/10
Value Trap Risk
13/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.7/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is CECO Environmental Corp. (CECO) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, CECO Environmental Corp. (CECO) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $32.52, 54.9% below the current price of $72.14. Estimates range from $5.84 to $116.69. CECO scores 8.7/10 on fundamental quality and 13/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. CECO’s -54.9% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy CECO Environmental Corp. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CECO?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($72.14)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $31.93 -55.7%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $44.24 -38.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $12.33 -82.9%
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What Is CECO's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $5.84 to $116.69

CirclFi's 7 active models place CECO Environmental Corp. (CECO) between $5.84 and $116.69 per share, a spread of 341% of the median. The median of that range — $32.52 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CECO, against a current price of $72.14.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Regime Cross
$5.84median $32.52$116.69
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$5.84
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$116.69
Model agreement1 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CECO. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CECO, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is CECO Environmental Corp. (CECO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CECO Environmental Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $32.52. Trading at its current price of $72.14, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 6 of 7 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -54.9%. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $116.69 (+61.8%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $5.84 (-91.9%). This +153.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about CECO Environmental Corp.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About CECO?

7 of 13 models are currently active for CECO. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CECO is $32.52 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CECO Rank in Pollution & Treatment Controls?

Among 22 Pollution & Treatment Controls stocks, CECO ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.7 places CECO in the top tier.

CECO Environmental Corp. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CECO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CECO a score of 13/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for CECO Environmental Corp.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CECO Environmental Corp. scores 8.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +153.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CECO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CECO's 7 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy CECO Environmental Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pollution & Treatment Controls Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Pollution & Treatment Controls stocks with 13-model coverage

CLWTEuro Tech Holdings Company LimitedQOC 2.6ZWSZurn Elkay Water Solutions CorporationQOC 8.6BKTHBreakthrough Chemistry, Inc.QOC 3.1VLTOVeralto CorporationQOC 8.5KNOSKronos Advanced Technologies Inc.QOC 3.2ERIIEnergy Recovery, Inc.QOC 8.2ARQArq, Inc.QOC 6.6TOMZTOMI Environmental Solutions, Inc.QOC 5.2BNETBion Environmental Technologies, Inc.QOC 4.5

Read investment analysis: CLWT · ZWS · BKTH · VLTO · KNOS · ERII · ARQ · TOMZ · BNET

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CECO?

7 companies across all industries closest to CECO’s Quality of Company score of 8.7/10.

ONBOld National BancorpQOC 8.7EROEro Copper Corp.QOC 8.7HIGThe Hartford Insurance Group, Inc.QOC 8.7NVTnVent Electric plcQOC 8.7ROKRockwell Automation, Inc.QOC 8.7TUYATuya Inc.QOC 8.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ONB · ERO · HIG · NVT · ROK · TUYA · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About CECO Environmental Corp.’s Valuation?

What is CECO Environmental Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts CECO Environmental Corp. (CECO)'s intrinsic value at $32.52 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $5.84 to $116.69. The Quality of Company score is 8.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CECO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $72.14, 1 of 7 active models suggest CECO may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $32.52, 54.9% below the current price of $72.14 — a consensus view that CECO is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits CECO Environmental Corp.'s business model in Pollution & Treatment Controls.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.7 mean for CECO?

CECO Environmental Corp.'s QOC of 8.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CECO?

CirclFi analyzes CECO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CECO?

Of the 7 models currently active on CECO, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $116.69 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $5.84. CirclFi's published fair value for CECO is the median of that range, $32.52, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 341% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CECO a value trap in 2026?

CECO Environmental Corp.'s Value Trap score is 13/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, CECO Environmental Corp. (CECO) has a median fair value of $32.52 — 54.9% below the current price of $72.14 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CECO/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CECO valuation
  • Financial statements: CECO Environmental Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000003197) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CECO as of ; valuations recomputed .

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