Ranger Energy Services, Inc. (RNGR) Fair Value 2026

RNGR · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (26/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Ranger Energy Services, Inc. (RNGR) trades at $15.65, versus a $24.82 median fair value across its 11 active models — 58.6% above the current price. QOC: 8.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 26/100 (LOW). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $17.76.

Key Facts

Ticker
RNGR
Price
$15.65
Quality Score
8.3/10
Value Trap Risk
26/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +237.3% upside with 57% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is Ranger Energy Services, Inc. (RNGR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Ranger Energy Services, Inc. (RNGR) appears undervalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $24.82, 58.6% above the current price of $15.65. Estimates range from $6.02 to $55.86. RNGR scores 8.3/10 on fundamental quality and 26/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. RNGR’s +58.6% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sector median is -17.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Ranger Energy Services, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give RNGR?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($15.65)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $17.76 +13.5%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $24.82 +58.6%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $52.78 +237.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $8.29 -47.0%
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What Is RNGR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $6.02 to $55.86

CirclFi's 11 active models place Ranger Energy Services, Inc. (RNGR) between $6.02 and $55.86 per share, a spread of 201% of the median. The median of that range — $24.82 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for RNGR, against a current price of $15.65.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Regime Cross
$6.02median $24.82$55.86
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$6.02
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$55.86
Model agreement8 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for RNGR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on RNGR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Ranger Energy Services, Inc. (RNGR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ranger Energy Services, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $24.82. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $15.65 (implied upside of +58.6%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 8 of 11 bullish models. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +256.9% (fair value: $55.86), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -61.5% ($6.02). The spread between these extremes — +318.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About RNGR?

11 of 13 models are currently active for RNGR. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for RNGR is $24.82 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $17.76 on its own, implying +13.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RNGR Rank in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services?

Among 51 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, RNGR ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places RNGR in the top tier.

As a oil and gas company, Ranger Energy Services, Inc. operates in a sector where breakeven oil price is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating RNGR should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is RNGR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RNGR a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Ranger Energy Services, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Ranger Energy Services, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.3/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +318.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RNGR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RNGR's 11 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Ranger Energy Services, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks with 13-model coverage

HALHalliburton CompanyQOC 8.3RESRPC, Inc.QOC 8.3XPROExpro LtdQOC 8.4NGSNatural Gas Services Group, Inc.QOC 8.3NESRNational Energy Services Reunited Corp.QOC 8.5NOVNOV Inc.QOC 8.0TTITETRA Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.7KLNGKoil Energy Solutions, Inc.QOC 6.0STAKSTAK Inc.QOC 2.4WHDCactus, Inc.QOC 9.2FTITechnipFMC plcQOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: HAL · RES · XPRO · NGS · NESR · NOV · TTI · KLNG · STAK · WHD · FTI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to RNGR?

7 companies across all industries closest to RNGR’s Quality of Company score of 8.3/10.

PSXPhillips 66QOC 8.3RBKBRhinebeck Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.3WITWipro LimitedQOC 8.3CHAChagee Holdings LimitedQOC 8.3BILIBilibili Inc.QOC 8.3DLXDeluxe CorporationQOC 8.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: PSX · RBKB · WIT · CHA · BILI · DLX · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Ranger Energy Services, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Ranger Energy Services, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Ranger Energy Services, Inc. (RNGR)'s intrinsic value at $24.82 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $6.02 to $55.86. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $17.76 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RNGR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $15.65, 8 of 11 active models suggest RNGR may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $24.82, 58.6% above the current price of $15.65 — a consensus view that RNGR is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Ranger Energy Services, Inc.'s business model in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.3 mean for RNGR?

Ranger Energy Services, Inc.'s QOC of 8.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RNGR?

CirclFi analyzes RNGR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on RNGR?

Of the 11 models currently active on RNGR, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $55.86 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $6.02. CirclFi's published fair value for RNGR is the median of that range, $24.82, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 201% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is RNGR a value trap in 2026?

Ranger Energy Services, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 26/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Ranger Energy Services, Inc. (RNGR) has a median fair value of $24.82 — 58.6% above the current price of $15.65 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/RNGR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this RNGR valuation
  • Financial statements: Ranger Energy Services, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001699039) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for RNGR as of ; valuations recomputed .

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