Ranger Energy Services, Inc. (RNGR) Fair Value 2026

RNGR · Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Ranger Energy Services, Inc. (RNGR) trades at $16.09, approximately 12% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $18.25. QOC: 8.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
RNGR
Price
$16.09
Quality Score
8.6/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +97.4% upside with 54% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($16.09)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$18.25 +13.4%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$7.27 -54.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$17.57 +9.1%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$31.77 +97.4%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 9 additional models including EROIC Spread, Markov DDM, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 13 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is Ranger Energy Services, Inc. (RNGR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ranger Energy Services, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $20.81, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $16.10. With an average implied return of +29.3% across a split 7–5 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +452.1% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +386.4% (fair value: $78.28), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -65.7% ($5.52). The spread between these extremes — +452.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About RNGR?

13 of 13 models are currently active for RNGR. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates RNGR's intrinsic value at $18.25, implying +13.4% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RNGR Rank in Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC?

Among 20 Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC stocks, RNGR ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places RNGR in the top tier.

As a oil and gas company, Ranger Energy Services, Inc. operates in a sector where breakeven oil price is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating RNGR should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is RNGR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RNGR a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Ranger Energy Services, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Ranger Energy Services, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.6/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +452.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RNGR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RNGR's 13 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Ranger Energy Services, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CLB · LBRT · NESR · OII · HAL

Frequently Asked Questions About Ranger Energy Services, Inc.

What is Ranger Energy Services, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Ranger Energy Services, Inc. (RNGR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $18.25. The Quality of Company score is 8.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RNGR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $16.09, 7 of 13 active models suggest RNGR may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Ranger Energy Services, Inc.'s business model in Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.6 mean for RNGR?

Ranger Energy Services, Inc.'s QOC of 8.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RNGR?

CirclFi analyzes RNGR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is RNGR a value trap in 2026?

Ranger Energy Services, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 13 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on RNGR.

Unlock All 13 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access