Liberty Energy Inc. (LBRT) Fair Value 2026

LBRT · Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Liberty Energy Inc. (LBRT) trades at $25.23, approximately 44% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $17.58. QOC: 9.3/10. 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
LBRT
Price
$25.23
Quality Score
9.3/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +18.0% upside with 54% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($25.23)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$17.58 -30.3%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$0.60 -97.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$17.29 -31.5%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$29.75 +18.0%

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What Is Liberty Energy Inc. (LBRT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Liberty Energy Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $24.30. Trading at $25.23, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -3.7%), as 9 of 13 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $113.05 (+348.2%), versus EPV at $0.60 (-97.6%). This +445.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About LBRT?

13 of 13 models are currently active for LBRT. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates LBRT's intrinsic value at $17.58, implying -30.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LBRT Rank in Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC?

Among 20 Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC stocks, LBRT ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.3 places LBRT in the top tier.

Liberty Energy Inc.'s positioning within the Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC segment means that debt-to-EBITDAX plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including commodity price environment — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is LBRT a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for LBRT. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Liberty Energy Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Liberty Energy Inc. earns a quality score of 9.3/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +445.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LBRT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LBRT's 13 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Liberty Energy Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About Liberty Energy Inc.

What is Liberty Energy Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Liberty Energy Inc. (LBRT) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $17.58. The Quality of Company score is 9.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LBRT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $25.23, 4 of 13 active models suggest LBRT may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Liberty Energy Inc.'s business model in Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.3 mean for LBRT?

Liberty Energy Inc.'s QOC of 9.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LBRT?

CirclFi analyzes LBRT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is LBRT a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for LBRT at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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