Flotek Industries, Inc. (FTK) Fair Value 2026

FTK · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Flotek Industries, Inc. (FTK) trades at $24.40, versus a $9.24 median fair value across its 8 active models — 62.1% below the current price. QOC: 7.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $1.52.

Key Facts

Ticker
FTK
Price
$24.40
Quality Score
7.6/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: 8 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Flotek Industries, Inc. (FTK) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Flotek Industries, Inc. (FTK) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $9.24, 62.1% below the current price of $24.40. Estimates range from $1.52 to $20.28. FTK scores 7.6/10 on fundamental quality and 24/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. FTK’s -62.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sector median is -15.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Flotek Industries, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give FTK?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($24.40)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.52 -93.8%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $7.76 -68.2%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $12.85 -47.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $10.84 -55.6%
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What Is FTK's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $1.52 to $20.28

CirclFi's 8 active models place Flotek Industries, Inc. (FTK) between $1.52 and $20.28 per share, a spread of 203% of the median. The median of that range — $9.24 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for FTK, against a current price of $24.40.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$1.52median $9.24$20.28
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$1.52
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$20.28
Model agreement0 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for FTK. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on FTK, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Flotek Industries, Inc. (FTK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Flotek Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $9.24, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $24.40. With 8 out of 8 models flagging downside (-62.1% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at -16.9% (fair value: $20.28), while Bayesian DCF is the most conservative at -93.8% ($1.52). The spread between these extremes — +76.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About FTK?

8 of 13 models are currently active for FTK. All 8 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for FTK is $9.24 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $1.52 on its own, implying -93.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FTK Rank in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services?

Among 52 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, FTK ranks #28 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.

As a oil and gas company, Flotek Industries, Inc. operates in a sector where production decline rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating FTK should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is FTK a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FTK a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Flotek Industries, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Flotek Industries, Inc. is rated at 7.6/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +76.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FTK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FTK's 8 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Flotek Industries, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks with 13-model coverage

VTOLBristow Group Inc.QOC 7.6SNDSmart Sand, Inc.QOC 7.5LBLandBridge Company LLCQOC 7.6PUMPProPetro Holding Corp.QOC 7.5CLBCore Laboratories Inc.QOC 7.8NINENine Energy Service, Inc.QOC 7.1WBIWaterBridge Infrastructure LLCQOC 5.9FTITechnipFMC plcQOC 8.9RESRPC, Inc.QOC 8.3WHDCactus, Inc.QOC 9.2

Read investment analysis: VTOL · SND · LB · PUMP · CLB · NINE · WBI · FTI · RES · WHD

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to FTK?

7 companies across all industries closest to FTK’s Quality of Company score of 7.6/10.

PWPPerella Weinberg PartnersQOC 7.6CNHCNH Industrial N.V.QOC 7.6BBTBeacon Financial CorporationQOC 7.6KRThe Kroger Co.QOC 7.6ATLCAtlanticus Holdings CorporationQOC 7.6SGHCSuper Group (SGHC) LimitedQOC 7.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: PWP · CNH · BBT · KR · ATLC · SGHC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Flotek Industries, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Flotek Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Flotek Industries, Inc. (FTK)'s intrinsic value at $9.24 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.52 to $20.28. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $1.52 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FTK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $24.40, 0 of 8 active models suggest FTK may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $9.24, 62.1% below the current price of $24.40 — a consensus view that FTK is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Flotek Industries, Inc.'s business model in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.6 mean for FTK?

Flotek Industries, Inc.'s QOC of 7.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FTK?

CirclFi analyzes FTK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on FTK?

Of the 8 models currently active on FTK, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $20.28 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $1.52. CirclFi's published fair value for FTK is the median of that range, $9.24, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 203% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is FTK a value trap in 2026?

Flotek Industries, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Flotek Industries, Inc. (FTK) has a median fair value of $9.24 — 62.1% below the current price of $24.40 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/FTK/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this FTK valuation
  • Financial statements: Flotek Industries, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000928054) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for FTK as of ; valuations recomputed .

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