Flotek Industries, Inc. (FTK) Fair Value 2026

FTK · Miscellaneous Chemical Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Flotek Industries, Inc. (FTK) trades at $25.00, approximately 8538% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.29. QOC: 7.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
FTK
Price
$25.00
Quality Score
7.6/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +26.2% upside with 53% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($25.00)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.29 -98.8%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$5.70 -77.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$9.03 -63.9%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$31.55 +26.2%

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What Is Flotek Industries, Inc. (FTK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Flotek Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $11.75, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $25.00. With 10 out of 12 models flagging downside (-53.0% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +40.6% (fair value: $35.15), while Bayesian DCF is the most conservative at -98.8% ($0.29). The spread between these extremes — +139.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About FTK?

12 of 13 models are currently active for FTK. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates FTK's intrinsic value at $0.29, implying -98.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FTK Rank in Miscellaneous Chemical Products?

Among 8 Miscellaneous Chemical Products stocks, FTK ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.

As a manufacturing company, Flotek Industries, Inc. operates in a sector where capacity utilization rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating FTK should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is FTK a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FTK a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Flotek Industries, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Flotek Industries, Inc. is rated at 7.6/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +139.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FTK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FTK's 12 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Flotek Industries, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

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Frequently Asked Questions About Flotek Industries, Inc.

What is Flotek Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Flotek Industries, Inc. (FTK) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.29. The Quality of Company score is 7.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FTK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $25.00, 2 of 12 active models suggest FTK may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Flotek Industries, Inc.'s business model in Miscellaneous Chemical Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.6 mean for FTK?

Flotek Industries, Inc.'s QOC of 7.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FTK?

CirclFi analyzes FTK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is FTK a value trap in 2026?

Flotek Industries, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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