What Is Smart Sand, Inc. (SND) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Smart Sand, Inc. at its current price of $4.80. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $4.44 (-7.5% average return), with 9 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +179.1% (fair value: $13.39), while First Chicago is the most conservative at -72.7% ($1.31). The spread between these extremes — +251.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About SND?
13 of 13 models are currently active for SND. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SND's intrinsic value at $2.88, implying -40.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does SND Rank in Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)?
Among 22 Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) stocks, SND ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.0 places SND in the top tier.
As a manufacturing company, Smart Sand, Inc. operates in a sector where aftermarket revenue mix is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating SND should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is SND a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SND a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Smart Sand, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Smart Sand, Inc. is rated at 8.0/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +251.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every SND valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across SND's 13 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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