Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) Fair Value 2026

VTOL · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (30/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) trades at $40.31, versus a $44.75 median fair value across its 11 active models — 11.0% above the current price. QOC: 7.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 30/100 (LOW). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
VTOL
Price
$40.31
Quality Score
7.6/10
Value Trap Risk
30/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +172.8% upside with 54% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) appears undervalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $44.75, 11.0% above the current price of $40.31. Estimates range from $1.30 to $198.51. VTOL scores 7.6/10 on fundamental quality and 30/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. VTOL’s +11.0% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sector median is -17.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Bristow Group Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give VTOL?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($40.31)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $44.75 +11.0%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $109.97 +172.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $39.35 -2.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $24.00 -40.5%
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What Is VTOL's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $1.30 to $198.51

CirclFi's 11 active models place Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) between $1.30 and $198.51 per share, a spread of 441% of the median. The median of that range — $44.75 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for VTOL, against a current price of $40.31.

Low · RCMH-DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$1.30median $44.75$198.51
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRCMH-DCF$1.30
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$198.51
Model agreement6 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for VTOL. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on VTOL, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Bristow Group Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $44.75, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $40.31. With a median implied return of +11.0% across a split 6–4 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +489.2% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +392.5% (fair value: $198.51), while RCMH-DCF is the most conservative at -96.8% ($1.30). The spread between these extremes — +489.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About VTOL?

11 of 13 models are currently active for VTOL. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for VTOL is $44.75 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does VTOL Rank in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services?

Among 51 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, VTOL ranks #25 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.

As a oil and gas company, Bristow Group Inc. operates in a sector where finding and development costs (F&D) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating VTOL should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is VTOL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns VTOL a score of 30/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Bristow Group Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Bristow Group Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.6/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +489.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every VTOL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across VTOL's 11 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Bristow Group Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks with 13-model coverage

TTITETRA Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.7SNDSmart Sand, Inc.QOC 7.6CLBCore Laboratories Inc.QOC 7.8FTKFlotek Industries, Inc.QOC 7.6AROCArchrock, Inc.QOC 7.9PUMPProPetro Holding Corp.QOC 7.5KLNGKoil Energy Solutions, Inc.QOC 6.0STAKSTAK Inc.QOC 2.4RNGRRanger Energy Services, Inc.QOC 8.3WHDCactus, Inc.QOC 9.2FTITechnipFMC plcQOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: TTI · SND · CLB · FTK · AROC · PUMP · KLNG · STAK · RNGR · WHD · FTI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to VTOL?

7 companies across all industries closest to VTOL’s Quality of Company score of 7.6/10.

MOSThe Mosaic CompanyQOC 7.6AAMIAcadian Asset Management Inc.QOC 7.6CINTCI&T Inc.QOC 7.6IDAIDACORP, Inc.QOC 7.6PRGPROG Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.6TWFGTWFG, Inc.QOC 7.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MOS · AAMI · CINT · IDA · PRG · TWFG · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Bristow Group Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Bristow Group Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL)'s intrinsic value at $44.75 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $1.30 to $198.51. The Quality of Company score is 7.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is VTOL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $40.31, 6 of 11 active models suggest VTOL may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $44.75, 11.0% above the current price of $40.31 — a consensus view that VTOL is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Bristow Group Inc.'s business model in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.6 mean for VTOL?

Bristow Group Inc.'s QOC of 7.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on VTOL?

CirclFi analyzes VTOL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on VTOL?

Of the 11 models currently active on VTOL, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $198.51 per share, and RCMH-DCF is the most bearish at $1.30. CirclFi's published fair value for VTOL is the median of that range, $44.75, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 441% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is VTOL a value trap in 2026?

Bristow Group Inc.'s Value Trap score is 30/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) has a median fair value of $44.75 — 11.0% above the current price of $40.31 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/VTOL/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this VTOL valuation
  • Financial statements: Bristow Group Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001525221) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for VTOL as of ; valuations recomputed .

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