What Is ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, ProPetro Holding Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $8.21. Trading at its current price of $13.75, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 11 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -40.3%. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +8.6% (fair value: $14.93), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -72.2% ($3.82). The spread between these extremes — +80.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About PUMP?
13 of 13 models are currently active for PUMP. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates PUMP's intrinsic value at $5.66, implying -58.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does PUMP Rank in Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC?
Among 20 Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC stocks, PUMP ranks #15 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.8 indicates above-average quality.
ProPetro Holding Corp.'s positioning within the Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC segment means that reserve replacement ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including energy transition positioning — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is PUMP a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PUMP a score of 40/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for ProPetro Holding Corp.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, ProPetro Holding Corp. earns a quality score of 6.8/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency. Our Value Trap detector shows moderate caution signals worth monitoring.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +80.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every PUMP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across PUMP's 13 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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