Select Water Solutions, Inc. (WTTR) Fair Value 2026

WTTR · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (40/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Select Water Solutions, Inc. (WTTR) trades at $19.28, versus a $4.93 median fair value across its 7 active models — 74.4% below the current price. QOC: 6.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 40/100 (WARN). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
WTTR
Price
$19.28
Quality Score
6.8/10
Value Trap Risk
40/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: 7 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Value Trap score of 40 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Select Water Solutions, Inc. (WTTR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Select Water Solutions, Inc. (WTTR) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $4.93, 74.4% below the current price of $19.28. Estimates range from $1.58 to $23.54. WTTR scores 6.8/10 on fundamental quality and 40/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. WTTR’s -74.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sector median is -18.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Select Water Solutions, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give WTTR?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($19.28)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $4.93 -74.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $2.29 -88.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $2.36 -87.8%
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What Is WTTR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $1.58 to $23.54

CirclFi's 7 active models place Select Water Solutions, Inc. (WTTR) between $1.58 and $23.54 per share, a spread of 445% of the median. The median of that range — $4.93 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for WTTR, against a current price of $19.28.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Regime Cross
$1.58median $4.93$23.54
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$1.58
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$23.54
Model agreement1 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for WTTR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on WTTR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Select Water Solutions, Inc. (WTTR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Select Water Solutions, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $4.93, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $19.28. With 6 out of 7 models flagging downside (-74.4% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +22.1% (fair value: $23.54), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -91.8% ($1.58). The spread between these extremes — +113.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About WTTR?

7 of 13 models are currently active for WTTR. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for WTTR is $4.93 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does WTTR Rank in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services?

Among 53 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, WTTR ranks #33 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.8 indicates above-average quality.

As a oil and gas company, Select Water Solutions, Inc. operates in a sector where reserve replacement ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating WTTR should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is WTTR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns WTTR a score of 40/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Select Water Solutions, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Select Water Solutions, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.8/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +113.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every WTTR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across WTTR's 7 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Select Water Solutions, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks with 13-model coverage

NOANorth American Construction Group Ltd.QOC 6.9OISOil States International, Inc.QOC 6.8NINENine Energy Service, Inc.QOC 7.1GEOSGeospace Technologies CorporationQOC 6.7PUMPProPetro Holding Corp.QOC 7.5FETForum Energy Technologies, Inc.QOC 6.6HMHHMH Holding Inc.QOC 5.3WFRDWeatherford International plcQOC 8.6FLOCFlowco Holdings Inc.QOC 8.0WHDCactus, Inc.QOC 9.2FTITechnipFMC plcQOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: NOA · OIS · NINE · GEOS · PUMP · FET · HMH · WFRD · FLOC · WHD · FTI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to WTTR?

7 companies across all industries closest to WTTR’s Quality of Company score of 6.8/10.

WIMIWiMi Hologram Cloud Inc.QOC 6.8BSACBanco Santander-ChileQOC 6.8AVAVAeroVironment, Inc.QOC 6.8FDMT4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.8NVTSNavitas Semiconductor CorporationQOC 6.8HURCHurco Companies, Inc.QOC 6.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: WIMI · BSAC · AVAV · FDMT · NVTS · HURC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Select Water Solutions, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Select Water Solutions, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Select Water Solutions, Inc. (WTTR)'s intrinsic value at $4.93 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.58 to $23.54. The Quality of Company score is 6.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is WTTR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $19.28, 1 of 7 active models suggest WTTR may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $4.93, 74.4% below the current price of $19.28 — a consensus view that WTTR is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Select Water Solutions, Inc.'s business model in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.8 mean for WTTR?

Select Water Solutions, Inc.'s QOC of 6.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on WTTR?

CirclFi analyzes WTTR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on WTTR?

Of the 7 models currently active on WTTR, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $23.54 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $1.58. CirclFi's published fair value for WTTR is the median of that range, $4.93, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 445% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is WTTR a value trap in 2026?

Select Water Solutions, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 40/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Select Water Solutions, Inc. (WTTR) has a median fair value of $4.93 — 74.4% below the current price of $19.28 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/WTTR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this WTTR valuation
  • Financial statements: Select Water Solutions, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001693256) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for WTTR as of ; valuations recomputed .

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