Air T, Inc. (AIRT) Fair Value 2026

AIRT · Conglomerates ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (39/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Air T, Inc. (AIRT) trades at $32.15, versus a $107.90 median fair value across its 2 active models — 235.6% above the current price. QOC: 6.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 39/100 (LOW). 2/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $116.39.

Key Facts

Ticker
AIRT
Price
$32.15
Quality Score
6.8/10
Value Trap Risk
39/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +262.0% upside with 34% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is Air T, Inc. (AIRT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Air T, Inc. (AIRT) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $107.90, 235.6% above the current price of $32.15. Estimates range from $99.40 to $116.39. AIRT scores 6.8/10 on fundamental quality and 39/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. AIRT’s +235.6% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Conglomerates sector median is -20.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Air T, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AIRT?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($32.15)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $116.39 +262.0%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $99.40 +209.2%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Air T, Inc. (AIRT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Air T, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $107.90. At a current market price of $32.15, 2 of 2 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +235.6%. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at +262.0% (fair value: $116.39), while PWERM is the most conservative at +209.2% ($99.40). The spread between these extremes — +52.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About AIRT?

2 of 13 models are currently active for AIRT. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for AIRT is $107.90 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $116.39 on its own, implying +262.0% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AIRT Rank in Conglomerates?

Among 31 Conglomerates stocks, AIRT ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.8 indicates above-average quality.

The Conglomerates sector introduces analytical considerations specific to manufacturing company businesses. For Air T, Inc., metrics like aftermarket revenue mix provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is AIRT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AIRT a score of 39/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Air T, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Air T, Inc. scores 6.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +52.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AIRT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AIRT's 2 active models, average confidence is 33%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Air T, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Conglomerates Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Conglomerates stocks with 13-model coverage

BBUCBrookfield Business CorporationQOC 7.1BOCBoston Omaha CorporationQOC 6.6BOOMDMC Global Inc.QOC 7.2MATWMatthews International CorporationQOC 6.5MMM3M CompanyQOC 7.5LGPSLogProstyle Inc.QOC 6.3NNBRNN, Inc.QOC 5.7TMGITransglobal Management Group, Inc.QOC 4.2HONHoneywell International Inc.QOC 8.3VMIValmont Industries, Inc.QOC 9.0OTTROtter Tail CorporationQOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: BBUC · BOC · BOOM · MATW · MMM · LGPS · NNBR · TMGI · HON · VMI · OTTR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AIRT?

7 companies across all industries closest to AIRT’s Quality of Company score of 6.8/10.

SPRUSpruce Power Holding CorporationQOC 6.8QTTBQ32 Bio Inc.QOC 6.8VINPVinci Compass Investments Ltd.QOC 6.8SLSNSolesence, Inc.QOC 6.8TNGXTango Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.8OCSLOaktree Specialty Lending CorporationQOC 6.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SPRU · QTTB · VINP · SLSN · TNGX · OCSL · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Air T, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Air T, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Air T, Inc. (AIRT)'s intrinsic value at $107.90 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $99.40 to $116.39. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $116.39 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AIRT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $32.15, 2 of 2 active models suggest AIRT may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $107.90, 235.6% above the current price of $32.15 — a consensus view that AIRT is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Air T, Inc.'s business model in Conglomerates.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.8 mean for AIRT?

Air T, Inc.'s QOC of 6.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AIRT?

CirclFi analyzes AIRT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AIRT a value trap in 2026?

Air T, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 39/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Air T, Inc. (AIRT) has a median fair value of $107.90 — 235.6% above the current price of $32.15 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AIRT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AIRT valuation
  • Financial statements: Air T, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000353184) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AIRT as of ; valuations recomputed .