Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC) Fair Value 2026

FLOC · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC) trades at $21.57, versus a $20.30 median fair value across its 9 active models — 5.9% below the current price. QOC: 8.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $26.00.

Key Facts

Ticker
FLOC
Price
$21.57
Quality Score
8.0/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +64.9% upside with 47% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (9/13) may reduce confidence

Is Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $20.30, within 5.9% of the current price of $21.57. Estimates range from $0.86 to $52.81. FLOC scores 8.0/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. FLOC’s -5.9% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sector median is -15.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Flowco Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give FLOC?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($21.57)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $26.00 +20.5%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $20.30 -5.9%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $35.56 +64.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $24.28 +12.6%
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What Is FLOC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $0.86 to $52.81

CirclFi's 9 active models place Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC) between $0.86 and $52.81 per share, a spread of 256% of the median. The median of that range — $20.30 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for FLOC, against a current price of $21.57.

Low · RCMH-DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$0.86median $20.30$52.81
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRCMH-DCF$0.86
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$52.81
Model agreement4 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for FLOC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on FLOC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Flowco Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $20.30. Trading at $21.57, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -5.9%), as 5 of 9 models suggest limited further upside. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +144.8% (fair value: $52.81), while RCMH-DCF is the most conservative at -96.0% ($0.86). The spread between these extremes — +240.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About FLOC?

9 of 13 models are currently active for FLOC. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for FLOC is $20.30 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $26.00 on its own, implying +20.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FLOC Rank in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services?

Among 52 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, FLOC ranks #19 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.0 indicates above-average quality.

The Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sector introduces analytical considerations specific to oil and gas company businesses. For Flowco Holdings Inc., metrics like debt-to-EBITDAX provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is FLOC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FLOC a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Flowco Holdings Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Flowco Holdings Inc. scores 8.0 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +240.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FLOC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FLOC's 9 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Flowco Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks with 13-model coverage

SLBSLB N.V.QOC 8.0USACUSA Compression Partners, LPQOC 8.0NOVNOV Inc.QOC 8.0LBRTLiberty Energy Inc.QOC 7.9HLXHelix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.QOC 8.0KGSKodiak Gas Services, Inc.QOC 7.9NOANorth American Construction Group Ltd.QOC 6.9KLXEKLX Energy Services Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.4WFRDWeatherford International plcQOC 8.6WHDCactus, Inc.QOC 9.2FTITechnipFMC plcQOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: SLB · USAC · NOV · LBRT · HLX · KGS · NOA · KLXE · WFRD · WHD · FTI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to FLOC?

7 companies across all industries closest to FLOC’s Quality of Company score of 8.0/10.

OVVOvintiv Inc.QOC 8.0EBFEnnis, Inc.QOC 8.0MLRMiller Industries, Inc.QOC 8.0LUXELuxExperience B.V.QOC 8.0UFPIUFP Industries, Inc.QOC 8.0CZFSCitizens Financial Services, Inc.QOC 8.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: OVV · EBF · MLR · LUXE · UFPI · CZFS · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Flowco Holdings Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Flowco Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC)'s intrinsic value at $20.30 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.86 to $52.81. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $26.00 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FLOC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $21.57, 4 of 9 active models suggest FLOC may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $20.30, within 5.9% of the current price of $21.57 — a consensus view that FLOC is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Flowco Holdings Inc.'s business model in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.0 mean for FLOC?

Flowco Holdings Inc.'s QOC of 8.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FLOC?

CirclFi analyzes FLOC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on FLOC?

Of the 9 models currently active on FLOC, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $52.81 per share, and RCMH-DCF is the most bearish at $0.86. CirclFi's published fair value for FLOC is the median of that range, $20.30, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 256% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is FLOC a value trap in 2026?

Flowco Holdings Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC) has a median fair value of $20.30 — within 5.9% of the current price of $21.57 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/FLOC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this FLOC valuation
  • Financial statements: Flowco Holdings Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002035149) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for FLOC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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