What Is KeyCorp (KEY) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, KeyCorp's intrinsic value is estimated at $22.91, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $23.22. With 9 out of 12 models flagging downside (-1.3% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: ML-RIV targets $122.44 (+427.3%), versus Markov DDM at $2.42 (-89.6%). This +516.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About KEY?
12 of 13 models are currently active for KEY. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates KEY's intrinsic value at $16.52, implying -28.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does KEY Rank in National Commercial Banks?
Among 90 National Commercial Banks stocks, KEY ranks #68 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.7 indicates above-average quality.
See all Most Undervalued National Commercial Banks Stocks →
Within the National Commercial Banks space, KeyCorp competes in an environment where CET1 capital ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is KEY a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns KEY a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for KeyCorp. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, KeyCorp's fundamental quality profile registers 6.7/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +516.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every KEY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across KEY's 12 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad