Recon Technology, Ltd. (RCON) Fair Value 2026

RCON · Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (23/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Recon Technology, Ltd. (RCON) trades at $0.42, approximately 187% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.15. QOC: 6.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 23/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
RCON
Price
$0.42
Quality Score
6.3/10
Value Trap Risk
23/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: 12 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Recon Technology, Ltd. (RCON) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Recon Technology, Ltd. (RCON) appears overvalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $0.32, 22.9% below the current price of $0.42. Estimates range from $0.05 to $1.60. RCON scores 6.3/10 on fundamental quality and 23/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Recon Technology, Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.42)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $0.15 -65.1%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
 $0.27 -35.4%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $0.29 -30.8%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $0.11 -73.5%

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What Is Recon Technology, Ltd. (RCON) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Recon Technology, Ltd.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $0.43. Trading at $0.42, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of +2.6%), as 7 of 12 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, RCMH-DCF, places fair value at $1.60 (+283.5%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $0.05 (-88.1%). This +371.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Recon Technology, Ltd.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About RCON?

12 of 13 models are currently active for RCON. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates RCON's intrinsic value at $0.15, implying -65.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RCON Rank in Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC?

Among 20 Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC stocks, RCON ranks #17 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.3 indicates above-average quality.

Recon Technology, Ltd.'s positioning within the Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC segment means that finding and development costs (F&D) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including capital discipline — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is RCON a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RCON a score of 23/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Recon Technology, Ltd.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Recon Technology, Ltd. earns a quality score of 6.3/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +371.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RCON valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RCON's 12 active models, average confidence is 29%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Recon Technology, Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

CLBCore Laboratories Inc.QOC 9.7LBRTLiberty Energy Inc.QOC 9.3NESRNational Energy Services ReunitQOC 9.2OIIOceaneering International, Inc.QOC 9.1HALHalliburton CompanyQOC 8.9NGSNatural Gas Services Group, IncQOC 8.8RNGRRanger Energy Services, Inc.QOC 8.6RESRPC, Inc.QOC 8.5

Read investment analysis: CLB · LBRT · NESR · OII · HAL

Frequently Asked Questions About Recon Technology, Ltd.

What is Recon Technology, Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Recon Technology, Ltd. (RCON) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.15. The Quality of Company score is 6.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RCON overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.42, 5 of 12 active models suggest RCON may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $0.32, 22.9% below the current price of $0.42 — a consensus view that RCON is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Recon Technology, Ltd.'s business model in Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.3 mean for RCON?

Recon Technology, Ltd.'s QOC of 6.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RCON?

CirclFi analyzes RCON with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is RCON a value trap in 2026?

Recon Technology, Ltd.'s Value Trap score is 23/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Recon Technology, Ltd. (RCON) has a median fair value of $0.32 — 22.9% below the current price of $0.42 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/RCON/ · Methodology

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