Recon Technology, Ltd. (RCON) Fair Value 2026

RCON · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (42/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Recon Technology, Ltd. (RCON) trades at $1.21, versus a $1.10 median fair value across its 2 active models — 9.2% below the current price. QOC: 5.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 42/100 (WARN). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
RCON
Price
$1.21
Quality Score
5.4/10
Value Trap Risk
42/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Dynamic NAV suggests +61.6% upside with 55% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 42 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Recon Technology, Ltd. (RCON) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Recon Technology, Ltd. (RCON) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $1.10, within 9.2% of the current price of $1.21. Estimates range from $0.24 to $1.96. RCON scores 5.4/10 on fundamental quality and 42/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. RCON’s -9.2% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sector median is -17.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Recon Technology, Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give RCON?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.21)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.24 -79.9%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $1.96 +61.6%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Recon Technology, Ltd. (RCON) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Recon Technology, Ltd.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $1.10, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $1.21. While the median implied return is -9.2%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +141.5% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Dynamic NAV, places fair value at $1.96 (+61.6%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $0.24 (-79.9%). This +141.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Recon Technology, Ltd.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About RCON?

2 of 13 models are currently active for RCON. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for RCON is $1.10 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RCON Rank in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services?

Among 51 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, RCON ranks #42 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.4 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Recon Technology, Ltd.'s positioning within the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services segment means that finding and development costs (F&D) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including capital discipline — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is RCON a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RCON a score of 42/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Recon Technology, Ltd.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Recon Technology, Ltd. earns a quality score of 5.4/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency. Our Value Trap detector shows moderate caution signals worth monitoring.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +141.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RCON valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RCON's 2 active models, average confidence is 55%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Recon Technology, Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks with 13-model coverage

DTIDrilling Tools International CorporationQOC 5.6KLXEKLX Energy Services Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.4ACDCProFrac Holding Corp.QOC 5.7HMHHMH Holding Inc.QOC 5.3WBIWaterBridge Infrastructure LLCQOC 5.8NEXTNextDecade CorporationQOC 4.3OIIOceaneering International, Inc.QOC 8.8USACUSA Compression Partners, LPQOC 8.0NINENine Energy Service, Inc.QOC 7.0WHDCactus, Inc.QOC 9.2FTITechnipFMC plcQOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: DTI · KLXE · ACDC · HMH · WBI · NEXT · OII · USAC · NINE · WHD · FTI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to RCON?

7 companies across all industries closest to RCON’s Quality of Company score of 5.4/10.

XIFRXPLR Infrastructure, LPQOC 5.5HSDTSolana CompanyQOC 5.4FSPFranklin Street Properties Corp.QOC 5.5NEOVNeoVolta Inc.QOC 5.4MWHSOLV Energy, Inc.QOC 5.5IPWRIdeal Power Inc.QOC 5.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: XIFR · HSDT · FSP · NEOV · MWH · IPWR · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Recon Technology, Ltd.’s Valuation?

What is Recon Technology, Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Recon Technology, Ltd. (RCON)'s intrinsic value at $1.10 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $0.24 to $1.96. The Quality of Company score is 5.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RCON overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.21, 1 of 2 active models suggest RCON may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $1.10, within 9.2% of the current price of $1.21 — a consensus view that RCON is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Recon Technology, Ltd.'s business model in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.4 mean for RCON?

Recon Technology, Ltd.'s QOC of 5.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RCON?

CirclFi analyzes RCON with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is RCON a value trap in 2026?

Recon Technology, Ltd.'s Value Trap score is 42/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Recon Technology, Ltd. (RCON) has a median fair value of $1.10 — within 9.2% of the current price of $1.21 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/RCON/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this RCON valuation
  • Financial statements: Recon Technology, Ltd. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001442620) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for RCON as of ; valuations recomputed .