USA Compression Partners, LP (USAC) Fair Value 2026

USAC · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (14/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, USA Compression Partners, LP (USAC) trades at $26.93, versus a $28.50 median fair value across its 9 active models — 5.8% above the current price. QOC: 8.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 14/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $58.30.

Key Facts

Ticker
USAC
Price
$26.93
Quality Score
8.0/10
Value Trap Risk
14/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Markov DDM suggests +294.6% upside with 57% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (9/13) may reduce confidence

Is USA Compression Partners, LP (USAC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, USA Compression Partners, LP (USAC) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $28.50, within 5.8% of the current price of $26.93. Estimates range from $6.08 to $106.25. USAC scores 8.0/10 on fundamental quality and 14/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. USAC’s +5.8% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sector median is -18.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy USA Compression Partners, LP Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give USAC?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($26.93)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $58.30 +116.5%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $35.31 +31.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $6.08 -77.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $106.25 +294.6%
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What Is USAC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $6.08 to $106.25

CirclFi's 9 active models place USA Compression Partners, LP (USAC) between $6.08 and $106.25 per share, a spread of 352% of the median. The median of that range — $28.50 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for USAC, against a current price of $26.93.

Low · EROICHigh · Markov DDM
$6.08median $28.50$106.25
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$6.08
Most bullish modelMarkov DDM$106.25
Model agreement5 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for USAC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on USAC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is USA Compression Partners, LP (USAC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on USA Compression Partners, LP at $26.93. With an estimated intrinsic value of $28.50 and 5 of 9 models pointing higher, the median implied return is +5.8%. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $106.25 (+294.6%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $6.08 (-77.4%). This +372.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about USA Compression Partners, LP's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About USAC?

9 of 13 models are currently active for USAC. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for USAC is $28.50 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $58.30 on its own, implying +116.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does USAC Rank in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services?

Among 53 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, USAC ranks #20 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.0 indicates above-average quality.

USA Compression Partners, LP's positioning within the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services segment means that capital efficiency ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including basin-level economics — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is USAC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns USAC a score of 14/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for USA Compression Partners, LP. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, USA Compression Partners, LP earns a quality score of 8.0/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +372.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every USAC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across USAC's 9 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy USA Compression Partners, LP Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks with 13-model coverage

FLOCFlowco Holdings Inc.QOC 8.0LBRTLiberty Energy Inc.QOC 7.9SLBSLB N.V.QOC 8.0KGSKodiak Gas Services, Inc.QOC 7.9NOVNOV Inc.QOC 8.0SEISolaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc.QOC 7.9WTTRSelect Water Solutions, Inc.QOC 6.8HMHHMH Holding Inc.QOC 5.3WFRDWeatherford International plcQOC 8.6WHDCactus, Inc.QOC 9.2FTITechnipFMC plcQOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: FLOC · LBRT · SLB · KGS · NOV · SEI · WTTR · HMH · WFRD · WHD · FTI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to USAC?

7 companies across all industries closest to USAC’s Quality of Company score of 8.0/10.

MKCMcCormick & Company, IncorporatedQOC 8.0SNXTD SYNNEX CorporationQOC 8.0GBXThe Greenbrier Companies, Inc.QOC 8.0FISIFinancial Institutions, Inc.QOC 8.0PRKSUnited Parks & Resorts Inc.QOC 8.0KMBKimberly-Clark CorporationQOC 8.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MKC · SNX · GBX · FISI · PRKS · KMB · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About USA Compression Partners, LP’s Valuation?

What is USA Compression Partners, LP's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts USA Compression Partners, LP (USAC)'s intrinsic value at $28.50 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $6.08 to $106.25. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $58.30 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is USAC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $26.93, 5 of 9 active models suggest USAC may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $28.50, within 5.8% of the current price of $26.93 — a consensus view that USAC is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits USA Compression Partners, LP's business model in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.0 mean for USAC?

USA Compression Partners, LP's QOC of 8.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on USAC?

CirclFi analyzes USAC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on USAC?

Of the 9 models currently active on USAC, Markov DDM is the most bullish at $106.25 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $6.08. CirclFi's published fair value for USAC is the median of that range, $28.50, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 352% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is USAC a value trap in 2026?

USA Compression Partners, LP's Value Trap score is 14/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, USA Compression Partners, LP (USAC) has a median fair value of $28.50 — within 5.8% of the current price of $26.93 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/USAC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this USAC valuation
  • Financial statements: USA Compression Partners, LP 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001522727) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for USAC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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