Nine Energy Service, Inc. (NINE) Fair Value 2026

NINE · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (42/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Nine Energy Service, Inc. (NINE) trades at $10.64, versus a $16.78 median fair value across its 8 active models — 57.7% above the current price. QOC: 7.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 42/100 (WARN). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
NINE
Price
$10.64
Quality Score
7.1/10
Value Trap Risk
42/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: ML-RIV suggests +294.5% upside with 54% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 42 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Nine Energy Service, Inc. (NINE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Nine Energy Service, Inc. (NINE) appears undervalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $16.78, 57.7% above the current price of $10.64. Estimates range from $8.41 to $41.98. NINE scores 7.1/10 on fundamental quality and 42/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. NINE’s +57.7% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sector median is -18.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Nine Energy Service, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give NINE?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.64)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $19.85 +86.6%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $34.02 +219.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $41.98 +294.5%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $8.41 -21.0%
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What Is NINE's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $8.41 to $41.98

CirclFi's 8 active models place Nine Energy Service, Inc. (NINE) between $8.41 and $41.98 per share, a spread of 200% of the median. The median of that range — $16.78 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for NINE, against a current price of $10.64.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · ML-RIV
$8.41median $16.78$41.98
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$8.41
Most bullish modelML Residual Income$41.98
Model agreement5 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for NINE. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on NINE, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Nine Energy Service, Inc. (NINE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Nine Energy Service, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $16.78. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $10.64 (implied upside of +57.7%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 5 of 8 bullish models. Notably, ML-RIV sees the most upside at +294.5% (fair value: $41.98), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -21.0% ($8.41). The spread between these extremes — +315.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About NINE?

8 of 13 models are currently active for NINE. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for NINE is $16.78 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NINE Rank in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services?

Among 53 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, NINE ranks #31 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.1 indicates above-average quality.

The Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sector introduces analytical considerations specific to oil and gas company businesses. For Nine Energy Service, Inc., metrics like capital efficiency ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is NINE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NINE a score of 42/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Nine Energy Service, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Nine Energy Service, Inc. scores 7.1 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +315.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NINE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NINE's 8 active models, average confidence is 38%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Nine Energy Service, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks with 13-model coverage

PUMPProPetro Holding Corp.QOC 7.5NOANorth American Construction Group Ltd.QOC 6.9SNDSmart Sand, Inc.QOC 7.5WTTRSelect Water Solutions, Inc.QOC 6.8FTKFlotek Industries, Inc.QOC 7.6OISOil States International, Inc.QOC 6.8DTIDrilling Tools International CorporationQOC 5.6TDWTidewater Inc.QOC 8.7NOVNOV Inc.QOC 8.0WHDCactus, Inc.QOC 9.2FTITechnipFMC plcQOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: PUMP · NOA · SND · WTTR · FTK · OIS · DTI · TDW · NOV · WHD · FTI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to NINE?

7 companies across all industries closest to NINE’s Quality of Company score of 7.1/10.

SAFESafehold Inc.QOC 7.1HFFGHF Foods Group Inc.QOC 7.1EQPTEquipmentShare.com Inc.QOC 7.1MASS908 Devices Inc.QOC 7.1HPHelmerich & Payne, Inc.QOC 7.1MHHMastech Digital, Inc.QOC 7.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SAFE · HFFG · EQPT · MASS · HP · MHH · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Nine Energy Service, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Nine Energy Service, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Nine Energy Service, Inc. (NINE)'s intrinsic value at $16.78 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $8.41 to $41.98. The Quality of Company score is 7.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NINE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.64, 5 of 8 active models suggest NINE may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $16.78, 57.7% above the current price of $10.64 — a consensus view that NINE is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Nine Energy Service, Inc.'s business model in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.1 mean for NINE?

Nine Energy Service, Inc.'s QOC of 7.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NINE?

CirclFi analyzes NINE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on NINE?

Of the 8 models currently active on NINE, ML Residual Income is the most bullish at $41.98 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $8.41. CirclFi's published fair value for NINE is the median of that range, $16.78, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 200% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is NINE a value trap in 2026?

Nine Energy Service, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 42/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Nine Energy Service, Inc. (NINE) has a median fair value of $16.78 — 57.7% above the current price of $10.64 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/NINE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this NINE valuation
  • Financial statements: Nine Energy Service, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001532286) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for NINE as of ; valuations recomputed .

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