ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC) Fair Value 2026

ACDC · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (49/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC) trades at $4.99, versus a $5.40 median fair value across its 6 active models — 8.2% above the current price. QOC: 5.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 49/100 (WARN). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ACDC
Price
$4.99
Quality Score
5.7/10
Value Trap Risk
49/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +88.3% upside with 58% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 49 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $5.40, within 8.2% of the current price of $4.99. Estimates range from $1.72 to $9.40. ACDC scores 5.7/10 on fundamental quality and 49/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. ACDC’s +8.2% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sector median is -18.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy ProFrac Holding Corp. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ACDC?

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($4.99)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $5.71 +14.5%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $9.40 +88.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.72 -65.6%
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What Is ACDC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 6 independent models · $1.72 to $9.40

CirclFi's 6 active models place ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC) between $1.72 and $9.40 per share, a spread of 142% of the median. The median of that range — $5.40 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ACDC, against a current price of $4.99.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · First Chicago
$1.72median $5.40$9.40
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$1.72
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$9.40
Model agreement3 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ACDC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ACDC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, ProFrac Holding Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $5.40, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $4.99. While the median implied return is +8.2%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +153.9% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $9.40 (+88.3%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $1.72 (-65.6%). This +153.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about ProFrac Holding Corp.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About ACDC?

6 of 13 models are currently active for ACDC. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ACDC is $5.40 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ACDC Rank in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services?

Among 53 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, ACDC ranks #43 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.7 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Within the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services space, ProFrac Holding Corp. competes in an environment where production decline rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is ACDC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ACDC a score of 49/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for ProFrac Holding Corp.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, ProFrac Holding Corp. is rated at 5.7/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +153.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ACDC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ACDC's 6 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy ProFrac Holding Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks with 13-model coverage

RCONRecon Technology, Ltd.QOC 5.7DTIDrilling Tools International CorporationQOC 5.6WBIWaterBridge Infrastructure LLCQOC 5.9KLXEKLX Energy Services Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.4EFXTEnerflex Ltd.QOC 6.0HMHHMH Holding Inc.QOC 5.3OIIOceaneering International, Inc.QOC 8.8HLXHelix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.QOC 8.0SNDSmart Sand, Inc.QOC 7.5WHDCactus, Inc.QOC 9.2FTITechnipFMC plcQOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: RCON · DTI · WBI · KLXE · EFXT · HMH · OII · HLX · SND · WHD · FTI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ACDC?

7 companies across all industries closest to ACDC’s Quality of Company score of 5.7/10.

MGNCMag Magna Corp.QOC 5.7CDIXCardiff Lexington CorporationQOC 5.7PEDPEDEVCO Corp.QOC 5.7SEATVivid Seats Inc.QOC 5.6OVIDOvid Therapeutics Inc.QOC 5.7PREPrenetics Global LimitedQOC 5.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MGNC · CDIX · PED · SEAT · OVID · PRE · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About ProFrac Holding Corp.’s Valuation?

What is ProFrac Holding Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC)'s intrinsic value at $5.40 — the median of 6 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.72 to $9.40. The Quality of Company score is 5.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ACDC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $4.99, 4 of 6 active models suggest ACDC may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $5.40, within 8.2% of the current price of $4.99 — a consensus view that ACDC is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits ProFrac Holding Corp.'s business model in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.7 mean for ACDC?

ProFrac Holding Corp.'s QOC of 5.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ACDC?

CirclFi analyzes ACDC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ACDC?

Of the 6 models currently active on ACDC, First Chicago is the most bullish at $9.40 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $1.72. CirclFi's published fair value for ACDC is the median of that range, $5.40, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 142% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ACDC a value trap in 2026?

ProFrac Holding Corp.'s Value Trap score is 49/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC) has a median fair value of $5.40 — within 8.2% of the current price of $4.99 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ACDC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ACDC valuation
  • Financial statements: ProFrac Holding Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001881487) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ACDC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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