Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) Fair Value 2026

ACHR · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (26/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) trades at $5.75. QOC: 5.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 26/100 (LOW). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ACHR
Price
$5.75
Quality Score
5.6/10
Value Trap Risk
26/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: 1 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ACHR?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.75)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $1.93 -66.4%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Archer Aviation Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $1.93. Trading at its current price of $5.75, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 1 of 1 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -66.4%.

What Do the Models Say About ACHR?

1 of 13 models are currently active for ACHR. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ACHR Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 94 Aerospace & Defense stocks, ACHR ranks #61 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.6 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

Archer Aviation Inc.'s positioning within the Aerospace & Defense segment means that program execution margin plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including aftermarket and MRO expansion — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is ACHR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ACHR a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Archer Aviation Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Archer Aviation Inc. earns a quality score of 5.6/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ACHR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ACHR's 1 active models, average confidence is 58%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Archer Aviation Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

SPAISafe Pro Group Inc.QOC 5.6VOYGVoyager Technologies, Inc.QOC 5.5AIRIAir Industries GroupQOC 5.8VWAVVisionWave Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.3SATLSatellogic Inc.QOC 5.9EVTLVertical Aerospace Ltd.QOC 5.3AVEXAEVEX Corp.QOC 3.8RTXRTX CorporationQOC 8.5VSECVSE CorporationQOC 7.3BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: SPAI · VOYG · AIRI · VWAV · SATL · EVTL · AVEX · RTX · VSEC · BUKS · HWM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ACHR?

6 companies across all industries closest to ACHR’s Quality of Company score of 5.6/10.

ECXECARX Holdings Inc.QOC 5.6PENNPENN Entertainment, Inc.QOC 5.6CLPRClipper Realty Inc.QOC 5.6ROLRHigh Roller Technologies, Inc.QOC 5.6SUNESUNation Energy Inc.QOC 5.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ECX · PENN · CLPR · ROLR · SUNE · NVDA

Where Does ACHR Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

ACHR is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Archer Aviation Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Archer Aviation Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR). The Quality of Company score is 5.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ACHR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.75, 0 of 1 active models suggest ACHR may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Archer Aviation Inc.'s business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.6 mean for ACHR?

Archer Aviation Inc.'s QOC of 5.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ACHR?

CirclFi analyzes ACHR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ACHR a value trap in 2026?

Archer Aviation Inc.'s Value Trap score is 26/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) a Quality of Company score of 5.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ACHR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ACHR valuation
  • Financial statements: Archer Aviation Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001824502) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ACHR as of ; valuations recomputed .