What Is Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Archer Aviation Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $2.00. Trading at its current price of $4.85, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -58.7%. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at +14.3% (fair value: $5.54), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -92.2% ($0.38). The spread between these extremes — +106.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Markov DDM lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About ACHR?
12 of 13 models are currently active for ACHR. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ACHR's intrinsic value at $1.24, implying -74.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ACHR Rank in Aerospace & Defense?
Among 4 Aerospace & Defense stocks, ACHR ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.
Archer Aviation Inc.'s positioning within the Aerospace & Defense segment means that program execution margin plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including aftermarket and MRO expansion — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is ACHR a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for ACHR. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Archer Aviation Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Archer Aviation Inc. earns a quality score of 5.9/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +106.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ACHR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ACHR's 12 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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