Air Industries Group (AIRI) Fair Value 2026

AIRI · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (13/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Air Industries Group (AIRI) trades at $2.74, versus a $4.30 median fair value across its 6 active models — 56.8% above the current price. QOC: 5.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 13/100 (SAFE). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AIRI
Price
$2.74
Quality Score
5.8/10
Value Trap Risk
13/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +63.8% upside with 10% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (6/13) may reduce confidence

Is Air Industries Group (AIRI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Air Industries Group (AIRI) appears undervalued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $4.30, 56.8% above the current price of $2.74. Estimates range from $1.63 to $10.99. AIRI scores 5.8/10 on fundamental quality and 13/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. AIRI’s +56.8% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Aerospace & Defense sector median is -32.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Air Industries Group Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AIRI?

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.74)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $4.49 +63.8%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $1.63 -40.4%
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $3.20 +16.9%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 3 additional models including PWERM, Sentiment SOTP, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 6 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is AIRI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 6 independent models · $1.63 to $10.99

CirclFi's 6 active models place Air Industries Group (AIRI) between $1.63 and $10.99 per share, a spread of 218% of the median. The median of that range — $4.30 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for AIRI, against a current price of $2.74.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · FTNN
$1.63median $4.30$10.99
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$1.63
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$10.99
Model agreement5 bullish · 1 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for AIRI. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on AIRI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Air Industries Group (AIRI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Air Industries Group is potentially undervalued at its current price of $2.74. Based on our 13-model framework, Air Industries Group's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $4.30 — representing +56.8% implied upside — with 5 out of 6 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $10.99 (+300.9%), versus Dynamic NAV at $1.63 (-40.4%). This +341.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About AIRI?

6 of 13 models are currently active for AIRI. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for AIRI is $4.30 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AIRI Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 94 Aerospace & Defense stocks, AIRI ranks #59 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

As a aerospace company, Air Industries Group operates in a sector where free cash flow conversion is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating AIRI should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is AIRI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AIRI a score of 13/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for Air Industries Group. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Air Industries Group's fundamental quality profile registers 5.8/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +341.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AIRI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AIRI's 6 active models, average confidence is 33%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Air Industries Group Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

SATLSatellogic Inc.QOC 5.9SPAISafe Pro Group Inc.QOC 5.6DUKRDUKE Robotics Corp.QOC 5.9ACHRArcher Aviation Inc.QOC 5.6BETABETA Technologies, Inc.QOC 5.9VOYGVoyager Technologies, Inc.QOC 5.5HAWKHawkEye 360, Inc.QOC 4.0NOCNorthrop Grumman CorporationQOC 8.6NPKNational Presto Industries, Inc.QOC 7.4BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: SATL · SPAI · DUKR · ACHR · BETA · VOYG · HAWK · NOC · NPK · BUKS · HWM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AIRI?

7 companies across all industries closest to AIRI’s Quality of Company score of 5.8/10.

ELLOEllomay Capital Ltd.QOC 5.8RMTIRockwell Medical, Inc.QOC 5.8AUGOAura Minerals Inc.QOC 5.8FIRYFiry Inc.QOC 5.8CUECue Biopharma, Inc.QOC 5.8CODXCo-Diagnostics, Inc.QOC 5.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ELLO · RMTI · AUGO · FIRY · CUE · CODX · NVDA

Where Does AIRI Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

AIRI is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Air Industries Group’s Valuation?

What is Air Industries Group's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Air Industries Group (AIRI)'s intrinsic value at $4.30 — the median of 6 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.63 to $10.99. The Quality of Company score is 5.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AIRI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.74, 5 of 6 active models suggest AIRI may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $4.30, 56.8% above the current price of $2.74 — a consensus view that AIRI is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Air Industries Group's business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.8 mean for AIRI?

Air Industries Group's QOC of 5.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AIRI?

CirclFi analyzes AIRI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on AIRI?

Of the 6 models currently active on AIRI, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $10.99 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $1.63. CirclFi's published fair value for AIRI is the median of that range, $4.30, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 218% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is AIRI a value trap in 2026?

Air Industries Group's Value Trap score is 13/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Air Industries Group (AIRI) has a median fair value of $4.30 — 56.8% above the current price of $2.74 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AIRI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AIRI valuation
  • Financial statements: Air Industries Group 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001009891) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AIRI as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 6 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on AIRI.

Unlock All 6 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

3 models hidden for AIRI Unlock All 6 — $39/mo