AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) Fair Value 2026

AIRO · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 0 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (10/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) trades at $7.76. QOC: 6.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 10/100 (SAFE). 0/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AIRO
Price
$7.76
Quality Score
6.5/10
Value Trap Risk
10/100
Models Active
0/13
Last Updated
Strength: 0 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Limited model coverage (0/13) may reduce confidence

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AIRO?

0 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($7.76)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside

All Models Active

All 0 models are displayed above.

What Is AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. currently lacks sufficient data across our 13-model framework. As more financial data is processed from SEC filings, our models will generate intrinsic value estimates.

What Do the Models Say About AIRO?

0 of 13 models are currently active for AIRO. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AIRO Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 94 Aerospace & Defense stocks, AIRO ranks #46 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

Within the Aerospace & Defense space, AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. competes in an environment where R&D as percentage of revenue often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is AIRO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AIRO a score of 10/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

0 of 13 models are active for AIRO Group Holdings, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. is rated at 6.5/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AIRO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

EHEHang Holdings LimitedQOC 6.5RCATRed Cat Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.5RDWRedwire CorporationQOC 6.7CVUCPI Aerostructures, Inc.QOC 6.5AVAVAeroVironment, Inc.QOC 6.8POWWOutdoor Holding CompanyQOC 6.5ARXSArxis, Inc.QOC 5.0PRZOParaZero Technologies Ltd.QOC 2.6CDRECadre Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.1BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: EH · RCAT · RDW · CVU · AVAV · POWW · ARXS · PRZO · CDRE · BUKS · HWM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AIRO?

7 companies across all industries closest to AIRO’s Quality of Company score of 6.5/10.

MAINMain Street Capital CorporationQOC 6.5FIGFigma, Inc.QOC 6.5ULCCFrontier Group Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.5MATWMatthews International CorporationQOC 6.5ZVRAZevra Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.5FEFirstEnergy Corp.QOC 6.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MAIN · FIG · ULCC · MATW · ZVRA · FE · NVDA

Where Does AIRO Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

AIRO is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About AIRO Group Holdings, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is AIRO Group Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO). The Quality of Company score is 6.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AIRO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $7.76, 0 of 0 active models suggest AIRO may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits AIRO Group Holdings, Inc.'s business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.5 mean for AIRO?

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc.'s QOC of 6.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AIRO?

CirclFi analyzes AIRO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 0 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AIRO a value trap in 2026?

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 10/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) a Quality of Company score of 6.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AIRO/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AIRO valuation
  • Financial statements: AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001927958) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AIRO as of ; valuations recomputed .