Should You Buy Butler National Corporation Stock in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Butler National Corporation (BUKS) ranks in the top tier of our coverage universe with a Quality of Company score of 9.4/10. Trading at a market price of $4.25, this high-quality profile requires careful comparison against our 13 intrinsic value models.
The short answer: 6 of 10 CirclFi valuation models project upside for Butler National Corporation (BUKS) at $4.25 — the model consensus leans bullish, with a Quality Score of 9.4/10 and Value-Trap risk of 6/100. The full bull case, bear case, and risk factors are below. Educational analysis, not financial advice.
What Is the Investment Case for Butler National Corporation (BUKS) in 2026?
What Is the Bull Case vs the Bear Case for Butler National Corporation (BUKS)?
| Bull case — $10.90 target (+156.5%) | Bear case — $2.72 target (-36.1%) |
|---|---|
| According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Butler National Corporation's rating of 9.4/10 signals strong fundamentals — high-quality businesses tend to compound value more reliably. | According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the EROIC Spread model sees the stock as overvalued with a fair value of $2.72 (-36.1%), suggesting that the market price embeds overly optimistic growth assumptions. |
| According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the Regime Cross-Sectional model targets a fair value of $10.90 (+156.5%), anchoring the bull case with a methodology that provides a differentiated analytical lens. | According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, model disagreement is high with a +192.6% spread between the most bullish and bearish models, signaling elevated analytical uncertainty. |
| Industry tailwind: space and satellite demand could provide meaningful support for Butler National Corporation's revenue and margin trajectory in the Aerospace & Defense space. | Industry headwind: defense budget sequestration represents a meaningful risk for Butler National Corporation and its Aerospace & Defense peers. |
How Does BUKS Compare to Its Aerospace & Defense Peers?
Valuation data pages: TATT · HWM · PRZO · OPXS · ESLT · DRS · LMT · POWW · FJET
Which Other Stocks Score Like BUKS on Quality?
Closest companies to BUKS’s Quality of Company score of 9.4/10, across all industries.
- BLBD — Blue Bird Corporation (QOC 9.4) · analysis
- RMD — ResMed Inc. (QOC 9.4) · analysis
- NYT — The New York Times Company (QOC 9.4) · analysis
- ONTO — Onto Innovation Inc. (QOC 9.4) · analysis
- ISRG — Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (QOC 9.4) · analysis
- EME — EMCOR Group, Inc. (QOC 9.4) · analysis
- NVDA — NVIDIA Corporation (QOC 10.0) · analysis
Which Aerospace & Defense Screens Does BUKS Appear In?
So Is Butler National Corporation (BUKS) Worth Buying in 2026?
Our models don't have a clear verdict on Butler National Corporation. At $4.25 vs. $4.59 median fair value, the median upside of +7.9% masks significant model disagreement (+192.6% spread). With quality at 9.4/10, this is a stock where the margin of error is wide and additional fundamental research is strongly recommended.
These are quantitative model outputs, not investment recommendations. Butler National Corporation's future depends on factors — management execution, competitive dynamics, regulatory changes — that no algorithm can fully capture. See all 13 model estimates →
What Else Do Investors Ask About BUKS Stock?
Should I buy BUKS stock right now?
Based on CirclFi's multi-model analysis, 6 of 10 models see upside for BUKS at $4.25. The majority of models suggest the stock trades below fair value, but investors should weigh this against the Quality Score of 9.4/10 and individual risk tolerance. This is not a buy recommendation — see our full disclaimer.
What are the biggest risks of investing in Butler National Corporation?
Key risks include: wide model disagreement (301% spread), signaling high uncertainty; general market and sector-specific risks affecting Aerospace & Defense companies. Always diversify and consult a financial advisor.
How does BUKS compare to its competitors?
Among Aerospace & Defense peers, BUKS holds a Quality Score of 9.4/10. Comparable companies include TATT (QOC 2.5), HWM (QOC 9.3), PRZO (QOC 2.6). The relative ranking helps investors identify whether BUKS offers better fundamental quality than alternatives in the same sector.
Is BUKS a good long-term investment?
Long-term investment potential depends on fundamental quality and sustainable competitive advantages. BUKS's Quality Score of 9.4/10 is encouraging for long-term holders, indicating consistent profitability, manageable debt, and healthy cash flows. Check our full data page for all 13 model estimates.
What price should I buy BUKS at?
CirclFi does not provide target buy prices or price alerts. However, our 10 active models produce fair value estimates ranging from $2.72 to $10.90. At $4.25, the stock trades within the range of model estimates. Many value investors look for a 20-30% margin of safety below intrinsic value before buying.
Want the complete picture?
See all 13 model estimates, confidence scores, and the full valuation table for BUKS.
Disclaimer: This article is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models and is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice, a buy/sell recommendation, or a solicitation to trade securities. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All data sourced from SEC EDGAR, FRED, and GDELT. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. Full disclaimer →
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