What Is Graham Corporation (GHM) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Graham Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $27.38. Trading at its current price of $102.76, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 11 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -73.4%. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +6.1% (fair value: $109.01), while EPV is the most conservative at -98.4% ($1.66). The spread between these extremes — +104.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About GHM?
11 of 13 models are currently active for GHM. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates GHM's intrinsic value at $6.38, implying -93.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does GHM Rank in General Industrial Machinery & Equipment?
Among 9 General Industrial Machinery & Equipment stocks, GHM ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.3 places GHM in the top tier.
The General Industrial Machinery & Equipment sector introduces analytical considerations specific to manufacturing company businesses. For Graham Corporation, metrics like working capital efficiency provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is GHM a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GHM a score of 29/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
11 of 13 models are active for Graham Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Graham Corporation earns a quality score of 9.3/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +104.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every GHM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across GHM's 11 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →