Research Brief Updated 2026-09-15

Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks 2026

Aerospace & Defense stocks trading below CirclFi's 13-model median fair value in 2026, ranked by implied upside. Institutional-grade analysis updated daily from SEC EDGAR.

72 valued · 17 qualify 13 models active By CirclFi Research Team

17 of the 72 companies CirclFi can value in Aerospace & Defense trade below their 13-model median fair value as of 2026-09-15 — 23.6% of the group. MDA Space Ltd. (MDA) leads at +188.2% against the median of its active models.

Which Aerospace & Defense Stocks Rank Highest by Median Upside?

17 qualifying of 72 aerospace & defense equities valued.

# Ticker Company Signal QOC Price Median Upside
1 MDA MDA Space Ltd. 4.4 $28.95 +188.2%
2 PEW GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. 6.4 $2.13 +126.4%
3 TATT TAT Technologies Ltd. 2.5 $38.07 +119.3%
4 AVEX AEVEX Corp. 3.8 $16.13 +109.4%
5 MOB Mobilicom Limited 5.2 $4.49 +103.4%
6 VVX V2X, Inc. 8.3 $75.17 +90.8%
7 MNTS Momentus Inc. 6.1 $4.02 +62.9%
8 BYRN Byrna Technologies Inc. 8.1 $3.73 +60.5%
9 AADX Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. 3.4 $12.22 +33.9%
10 HONA Honeywell Aerospace Inc. 4.9 $158.50 +27.4%
11 H••• Huntington ••••• •.• $•••.•• ••.•%
12 B••• Butler ••••• •.• $•••.•• ••.•%
13 E••• Embraer ••••• •.• $•••.•• ••.•%
14 A••• AeroVironment, ••••• •.• $•••.•• ••.•%
15 E••• EHang ••••• •.• $•••.•• ••.•%
16 L••• Lockheed ••••• •.• $•••.•• ••.•%
17 A••• Arxis, ••••• •.• $•••.•• ••.•%

You’re seeing 10 of 17 qualifying stocks.

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How CirclFi Ranks Aerospace & Defense Stocks

CirclFi publishes a valuation page for all 5,859 US equities it covers and can state a 13-model median fair value for the 3,795 with enough filing history for at least two models to run, 72 of them in Aerospace & Defense — reading SEC EDGAR filings, FRED macro data, and GDELT sentiment.

For Aerospace & Defense stocks, CirclFi adjusts sector-relative benchmarks — comparing margins, capital intensity, and growth rates against Aerospace & Defense industry medians.

Ranking band: stocks whose implied upside exceeds +300% are excluded from this ranking. Beyond that level a currency or share-count artifact in the source filing is a more likely explanation than a genuine mispricing in a listed US equity, so CirclFi does not let those values define a ranking. Each stock's full computed range is still shown on its own page. Read the methodology →

Profitability Matrix

ROIC, Gross Margin expansion, and FCF Yield analysis.

Growth Vector

Revenue compounding vs. sector benchmarks.

Stability Index

Altman Z-Score, debt resilience, and earnings variance.

Methodology: Median Upside

Median Upside is the gap between the current price and the median fair value of every model currently active for that company — the same median quoted on the stock’s own page, in its FAQ and in its structured data. Using the median rather than any single model means no one runaway estimate can define a ranking.

Models: Bayesian DCF, EPV, First Chicago, Markov DDM, ML-RIV, FTNN Topology, and 7 more.

What Should You Know About This Aerospace & Defense Screen?

What are the most undervalued aerospace & defense stocks in 2026?

CirclFi identifies the most undervalued aerospace & defense stocks 2026 using 13 institutional-grade valuation models including Bayesian DCF (10,000 Monte Carlo simulations), EPV (Greenwald framework), and EROIC Spread (McKinsey). Rankings update daily from SEC EDGAR filings. The current top-ranked stock is MDA (MDA Space Ltd.).

How does CirclFi rank Aerospace & Defense stocks?

Stocks are ranked by Median Upside derived from CirclFi's proprietary models. Each model independently processes SEC EDGAR financial data (700+ XBRL tags), FRED macroeconomic indicators, and GDELT news sentiment to produce confidence-weighted fair value estimates. The ranking methodology combines multiple valuation approaches — intrinsic, relative, scenario, and ensemble — for maximum robustness.

How often is the most undervalued aerospace & defense stocks 2026 list updated?

This list is recalculated daily after US market close. Every stock is re-valued through all 13 models using the latest SEC EDGAR filings, market prices, and FRED macroeconomic data. Rankings can change daily as new financial data becomes available or market prices shift relative to fair value estimates.

What is the Quality of Company (QOC) score?

The QOC score is a 0-10 composite rating derived from 32 fundamental signals across four pillars: profitability (ROE, ROIC, margins), growth (revenue CAGR, earnings acceleration), stability (earnings volatility, debt coverage), and capital efficiency (asset turnover, free cash flow yield). Higher scores indicate stronger fundamentals. Scores above 7 represent top-tier companies.

How does this list compare to other stock screeners?

Unlike simple screeners that filter by P/E or dividend yield, CirclFi runs 13 independent institutional-grade valuation models on every stock — including Bayesian DCF with Monte Carlo simulation, Greenwald EPV, and McKinsey economic profit frameworks. Each company is scored on 32 fundamental signals drawn from 700+ SEC EDGAR XBRL tags, then re-valued after every US market close. Most retail screeners use one or two metrics; this screen ranks 72 Aerospace & Defense companies on the median of all 13.