Momentus Inc. (MNTS) Fair Value 2026

MNTS · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (42/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Momentus Inc. (MNTS) trades at $4.10. QOC: 6.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 42/100 (WARN). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
MNTS
Price
$4.10
Quality Score
6.1/10
Value Trap Risk
42/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: Dynamic NAV suggests +59.8% upside with 51% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 42 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give MNTS?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($4.10)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · High Conviction
$6.55 +59.8%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Momentus Inc. (MNTS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Momentus Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $6.55. At a current market price of $4.10, 1 of 1 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +59.8%.

What Do the Models Say About MNTS?

1 of 13 models are currently active for MNTS. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MNTS Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 94 Aerospace & Defense stocks, MNTS ranks #55 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.1 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

Momentus Inc.'s positioning within the Aerospace & Defense segment means that free cash flow conversion plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including next-gen platform contracts — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is MNTS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MNTS a score of 42/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Momentus Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Momentus Inc. earns a quality score of 6.1/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency. Our Value Trap detector shows moderate caution signals worth monitoring.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MNTS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MNTS's 1 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Momentus Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: SIF · BETA · FLY · DUKR · PEW · SATL · MDA · HEI · HII · BUKS · HWM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to MNTS?

7 companies across all industries closest to MNTS’s Quality of Company score of 6.1/10.

Read investment analysis: STWI · RNXT · SCYX · TROX · UEC · IOVA · NVDA

Where Does MNTS Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

MNTS is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Momentus Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Momentus Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Momentus Inc. (MNTS). The Quality of Company score is 6.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MNTS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $4.10, 1 of 1 active models suggest MNTS may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Momentus Inc.'s business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.1 mean for MNTS?

Momentus Inc.'s QOC of 6.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MNTS?

CirclFi analyzes MNTS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is MNTS a value trap in 2026?

Momentus Inc.'s Value Trap score is 42/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Momentus Inc. (MNTS) a Quality of Company score of 6.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/MNTS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this MNTS valuation
  • Financial statements: Momentus Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001781162) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for MNTS as of ; valuations recomputed .