Woodward, Inc. (WWD) Fair Value 2026

WWD · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Woodward, Inc. (WWD) trades at $341.81, versus a $152.32 median fair value across its 10 active models — 55.4% below the current price. QOC: 8.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $129.36.

Key Facts

Ticker
WWD
Price
$341.81
Quality Score
8.9/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.9/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Woodward, Inc. (WWD) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Woodward, Inc. (WWD) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $152.32, 55.4% below the current price of $341.81. Estimates range from $56.14 to $432.49. WWD scores 8.9/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. WWD’s -55.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Aerospace & Defense sector median is -32.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Woodward, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give WWD?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($341.81)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $129.36 -62.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $56.14 -83.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $144.15 -57.8%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $288.60 -15.6%
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What Is WWD's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $56.14 to $432.49

CirclFi's 10 active models place Woodward, Inc. (WWD) between $56.14 and $432.49 per share, a spread of 247% of the median. The median of that range — $152.32 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for WWD, against a current price of $341.81.

Low · EPVHigh · Regime Cross
$56.14median $152.32$432.49
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$56.14
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$432.49
Model agreement1 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for WWD. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on WWD, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Woodward, Inc. (WWD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Woodward, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $152.32. Trading at its current price of $341.81, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 10 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -55.4%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $432.49 (+26.5%), versus EPV at $56.14 (-83.6%). This +110.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About WWD?

10 of 13 models are currently active for WWD. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for WWD is $152.32 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $129.36 on its own, implying -62.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does WWD Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 94 Aerospace & Defense stocks, WWD ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.9 places WWD in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

The Aerospace & Defense sector introduces analytical considerations specific to aerospace company businesses. For Woodward, Inc., metrics like defense budget allocation provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is WWD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns WWD a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Woodward, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Woodward, Inc. earns a quality score of 8.9/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +110.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every WWD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across WWD's 10 active models, average confidence is 56%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Woodward, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

ISSCInnovative Solutions and Support IncQOC 8.9HEIHEICO CorporationQOC 8.9DRSLeonardo DRS, Inc.QOC 9.0TDGTransDigm Group IncorporatedQOC 8.7OPXSOptex Systems Holdings, IncQOC 9.1HXLHexcel CorporationQOC 8.7FTAIFTAI Aviation Ltd.QOC 7.8SIFSIFCO Industries, Inc.QOC 6.2DFNST3 Defense Inc.QOC 4.6BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: ISSC · HEI · DRS · TDG · OPXS · HXL · FTAI · SIF · DFNS · BUKS · HWM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to WWD?

7 companies across all industries closest to WWD’s Quality of Company score of 8.9/10.

BRBroadridge Financial Solutions, Inc.QOC 8.9PRPermian Resources CorporationQOC 8.9FCXFreeport-McMoRan Inc.QOC 8.9CHCIComstock Holding Companies, Inc.QOC 8.9DALDelta Air Lines, Inc.QOC 8.9ROLRollins, Inc.QOC 8.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: BR · PR · FCX · CHCI · DAL · ROL · NVDA

Where Does WWD Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

WWD is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Woodward, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Woodward, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Woodward, Inc. (WWD)'s intrinsic value at $152.32 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $56.14 to $432.49. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $129.36 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is WWD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $341.81, 1 of 10 active models suggest WWD may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $152.32, 55.4% below the current price of $341.81 — a consensus view that WWD is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Woodward, Inc.'s business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.9 mean for WWD?

Woodward, Inc.'s QOC of 8.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on WWD?

CirclFi analyzes WWD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on WWD?

Of the 10 models currently active on WWD, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $432.49 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $56.14. CirclFi's published fair value for WWD is the median of that range, $152.32, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 247% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is WWD a value trap in 2026?

Woodward, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Woodward, Inc. (WWD) has a median fair value of $152.32 — 55.4% below the current price of $341.81 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/WWD/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this WWD valuation
  • Financial statements: Woodward, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000108312) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for WWD as of ; valuations recomputed .

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