Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. (FPS) Fair Value 2026

FPS · Electrical Equipment & Parts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. (FPS) trades at $41.35, versus a $9.63 median fair value across its 6 active models — 76.7% below the current price. QOC: 8.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
FPS
Price
$41.35
Quality Score
8.0/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.0/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. (FPS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. (FPS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $9.63, 76.7% below the current price of $41.35. Estimates range from $1.92 to $91.58. FPS scores 8.0/10 on fundamental quality and 17/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. FPS’s -76.7% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Electrical Equipment & Parts sector median is -30.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give FPS?

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($41.35)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $10.07 -75.7%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $14.39 -65.2%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $1.92 -95.3%
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What Is FPS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 6 independent models · $1.92 to $91.58

CirclFi's 6 active models place Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. (FPS) between $1.92 and $91.58 per share, a spread of 931% of the median. The median of that range — $9.63 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for FPS, against a current price of $41.35.

Low · EROICHigh · Regime Cross
$1.92median $9.63$91.58
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$1.92
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$91.58
Model agreement1 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for FPS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on FPS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. (FPS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $9.63, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $41.35. With 5 out of 6 models flagging downside (-76.7% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $91.58 (+121.5%), versus EROIC at $1.92 (-95.3%). This +216.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About FPS?

6 of 13 models are currently active for FPS. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for FPS is $9.63 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FPS Rank in Electrical Equipment & Parts?

Among 58 Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, FPS ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.0 places FPS in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Electrical Equipment & Parts Stocks →

As a power and energy company, Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. operates in a sector where customer growth rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating FPS should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is FPS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FPS a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. is rated at 8.0/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +216.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FPS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FPS's 6 active models, average confidence is 33%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electrical Equipment & Parts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks with 13-model coverage

AEISAdvanced Energy Industries, Inc.QOC 8.1BEBloom Energy CorporationQOC 7.5PLPCPreformed Line Products CompanyQOC 8.1RFILRF Industries, Ltd.QOC 7.5KEKimball Electronics, Inc.QOC 8.3ATKRAtkore Inc.QOC 7.4EAFGrafTech International Ltd.QOC 5.7TOGITurnOnGreen, IncQOC 4.9XCHXCHG LimitedQOC 2.5POWLPowell Industries, Inc.QOC 9.6VRTVertiv Holdings CoQOC 9.2

Read investment analysis: AEIS · BE · PLPC · RFIL · KE · ATKR · EAF · TOGI · XCH · POWL · VRT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to FPS?

7 companies across all industries closest to FPS’s Quality of Company score of 8.0/10.

LLoews CorporationQOC 8.0GRANGrande Group LimitedQOC 8.0TRMKTrustmark CorporationQOC 8.0LOMALoma Negra Compañía Industrial Argentina Sociedad AnónimaQOC 8.0SBHSally Beauty Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.0TIGOMillicom International Cellular S.A.QOC 8.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: L · GRAN · TRMK · LOMA · SBH · TIGO · NVDA

Where Does FPS Sit in CirclFi's Electrical Equipment & Parts Rankings?

FPS is ranked against every other Electrical Equipment & Parts stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. (FPS)'s intrinsic value at $9.63 — the median of 6 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $1.92 to $91.58. The Quality of Company score is 8.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FPS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $41.35, 1 of 6 active models suggest FPS may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $9.63, 76.7% below the current price of $41.35 — a consensus view that FPS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.'s business model in Electrical Equipment & Parts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.0 mean for FPS?

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.'s QOC of 8.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FPS?

CirclFi analyzes FPS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on FPS?

Of the 6 models currently active on FPS, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $91.58 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $1.92. CirclFi's published fair value for FPS is the median of that range, $9.63, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 931% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is FPS a value trap in 2026?

Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. (FPS) has a median fair value of $9.63 — 76.7% below the current price of $41.35 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/FPS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this FPS valuation
  • Financial statements: Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002080126) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for FPS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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