GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) Fair Value 2026

PEW · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) trades at $2.36, versus a $4.84 median fair value across its 3 active models — 105.0% above the current price. QOC: 6.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PEW
Price
$2.36
Quality Score
6.4/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: FTNN Topology suggests +343.3% upside with 6% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (3/13) may reduce confidence

Is GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) appears undervalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $4.84, 105.0% above the current price of $2.36. Estimates range from $3.19 to $10.46. PEW scores 6.4/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. PEW’s +105.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Aerospace & Defense sector median is -23.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give PEW?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.36)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Low Conviction
 $4.84 +105.0%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $3.19 +35.3%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $10.46 +343.3%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is PEW's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $3.19 to $10.46

CirclFi's 3 active models place GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) between $3.19 and $10.46 per share, a spread of 150% of the median. The median of that range — $4.84 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for PEW, against a current price of $2.36.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · FTNN
$3.19median $4.84$10.46
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$3.19
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$10.46
Model agreement3 bullish · 0 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for PEW. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on PEW, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $2.36. Based on our 13-model framework, GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $4.84 — representing +105.0% implied upside — with 3 out of 3 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $10.46 (+343.3%), versus Dynamic NAV at $3.19 (+35.3%). This +308.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About PEW?

3 of 13 models are currently active for PEW. All 3 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for PEW is $4.84 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PEW Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 92 Aerospace & Defense stocks, PEW ranks #50 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.'s positioning within the Aerospace & Defense segment means that defense budget allocation plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including aftermarket and MRO expansion — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is PEW a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PEW a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. scores 6.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +308.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PEW valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PEW's 3 active models, average confidence is 25%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

PLPlanet Labs PBCQOC 6.4FLYFirefly Aerospace Inc.QOC 6.3SPCEVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.5SIFSIFCO Industries, Inc.QOC 6.2POWWOutdoor Holding CompanyQOC 6.5MNTSMomentus Inc.QOC 6.1EVEXEve Holding, Inc.QOC 4.7DRSLeonardo DRS, Inc.QOC 9.0CAECAE Inc.QOC 7.8BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: PL · FLY · SPCE · SIF · POWW · MNTS · EVEX · DRS · CAE · BUKS · HWM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to PEW?

7 companies across all industries closest to PEW’s Quality of Company score of 6.4/10.

DLTHDuluth Holdings Inc.QOC 6.4PKXPOSCO Holdings Inc.QOC 6.4ONITOnity Group Inc.QOC 6.4ULHUniversal Logistics Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.4MPMP Materials Corp.QOC 6.4LMNRLimoneira CompanyQOC 6.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: DLTH · PKX · ONIT · ULH · MP · LMNR · NVDA

Where Does PEW Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

PEW is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.’s Valuation?

What is GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW)'s intrinsic value at $4.84 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $3.19 to $10.46. The Quality of Company score is 6.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PEW overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.36, 3 of 3 active models suggest PEW may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $4.84, 105.0% above the current price of $2.36 — a consensus view that PEW is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.'s business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.4 mean for PEW?

GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.'s QOC of 6.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PEW?

CirclFi analyzes PEW with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on PEW?

Of the 3 models currently active on PEW, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $10.46 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $3.19. CirclFi's published fair value for PEW is the median of that range, $4.84, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 150% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is PEW a value trap in 2026?

GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) has a median fair value of $4.84 — 105.0% above the current price of $2.36 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PEW/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this PEW valuation
  • Financial statements: GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002051380) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for PEW as of ; valuations recomputed .