GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) Fair Value 2026

PEW · Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) trades at $2.77, approximately 32% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $4.09. QOC: 6.0/10. 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PEW
Price
$2.77
Quality Score
6.0/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +121.2% upside with 17% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.77)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$4.09 +47.8%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
$6.12 +121.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$4.49 +62.5%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$1.70 -38.6%

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What Is GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $2.77. Based on our 13-model framework, GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $4.64 — representing +67.9% implied upside — with 10 out of 12 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $7.56 (+173.4%), versus First Chicago at $1.70 (-38.6%). This +212.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About PEW?

12 of 13 models are currently active for PEW. Of these, 10 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates PEW's intrinsic value at $4.09, implying +47.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PEW Rank in Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores?

Among 5 Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores stocks, PEW ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.0 indicates above-average quality.

GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.'s positioning within the Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores segment means that customer lifetime value (CLV) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including private label penetration — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is PEW a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for PEW. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. scores 6.0 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +212.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PEW valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PEW's 12 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

4 related Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: DKS · ASO · BNED · SPWH

Frequently Asked Questions About GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.

What is GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc. (PEW) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $4.09. The Quality of Company score is 6.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PEW overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.77, 10 of 12 active models suggest PEW may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.'s business model in Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.0 mean for PEW?

GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.'s QOC of 6.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PEW?

CirclFi analyzes PEW with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is PEW a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for PEW at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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