What Is Academy Sports and Outdoors, In (ASO) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Academy Sports and Outdoors, In's intrinsic value is estimated at $49.11, suggesting a +5.6% average upside from the current price of $46.49. While 7 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 5 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: RCMH-DCF targets $91.60 (+97.0%), versus Dynamic NAV at $3.29 (-92.9%). This +189.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About ASO?
12 of 13 models are currently active for ASO. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ASO's intrinsic value at $79.46, implying +70.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ASO Rank in Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores?
Among 5 Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores stocks, ASO ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.3 places ASO in the top tier.
As a consumer-facing company, Academy Sports and Outdoors, In operates in a sector where same-store sales growth (comps) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating ASO should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is ASO a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ASO a score of 21/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Academy Sports and Outdoors, In. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Academy Sports and Outdoors, In is rated at 9.3/10. This elite-tier score ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +189.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ASO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ASO's 12 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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