Red Violet, Inc. (RDVT) Fair Value 2026

RDVT · Software - Application ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Red Violet, Inc. (RDVT) trades at $72.00, versus a $25.63 median fair value across its 9 active models — 64.4% below the current price. QOC: 8.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $26.70.

Key Facts

Ticker
RDVT
Price
$72.00
Quality Score
8.6/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.6/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Red Violet, Inc. (RDVT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Red Violet, Inc. (RDVT) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $25.63, 64.4% below the current price of $72.00. Estimates range from $5.11 to $26.70. RDVT scores 8.6/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. RDVT’s -64.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Software - Application sector median is -23.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Red Violet, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give RDVT?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($72.00)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $26.70 -62.9%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $23.17 -67.8%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $26.66 -63.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $7.45 -89.6%
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What Is RDVT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $5.11 to $26.70

CirclFi's 9 active models place Red Violet, Inc. (RDVT) between $5.11 and $26.70 per share, a spread of 84% of the median. The median of that range — $25.63 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for RDVT, against a current price of $72.00.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Bayesian DCF
$5.11median $25.63$26.70
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$5.11
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$26.70
Model agreement0 bullish · 9 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on RDVT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Red Violet, Inc. (RDVT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Red Violet, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $25.63. Trading at its current price of $72.00, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 9 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -64.4%. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About RDVT?

9 of 13 models are currently active for RDVT. All 9 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for RDVT is $25.63 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $26.70 on its own, implying -62.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RDVT Rank in Software - Application?

Among 256 Software - Application stocks, RDVT ranks #44 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places RDVT in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Software - Application Stocks →

Red Violet, Inc.'s positioning within the Software - Application segment means that net revenue retention (NRR) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including AI/ML integration — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is RDVT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RDVT a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Red Violet, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Red Violet, Inc. earns a quality score of 8.6/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

Models cluster within a tight range (+30.0% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RDVT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RDVT's 9 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Red Violet, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Application Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Software - Application stocks with 13-model coverage

TYLTyler Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.7GTMZoomInfo Technologies Inc.QOC 8.6YOUClear Secure, Inc.QOC 8.7FRSHFreshworks Inc.QOC 8.6HUBSHubSpot, Inc.QOC 8.7NTWKNetSol Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.6DSPViant Technology Inc.QOC 7.1ASURAsure Software, Inc.QOC 5.6NGCGNew Generation Consumer Group, Inc.QOC 3.3ADSKAutodesk, Inc.QOC 9.8PTCPTC Inc.QOC 9.8

Read investment analysis: TYL · GTM · YOU · FRSH · HUBS · NTWK · DSP · ASUR · NGCG · ADSK · PTC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to RDVT?

7 companies across all industries closest to RDVT’s Quality of Company score of 8.6/10.

BMABanco Macro S.A.QOC 8.6LVSLas Vegas Sands Corp.QOC 8.6TMUST-Mobile US, Inc.QOC 8.6CTRECareTrust REIT, Inc.QOC 8.6GEGE AerospaceQOC 8.6CUBECubeSmartQOC 8.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: BMA · LVS · TMUS · CTRE · GE · CUBE · NVDA

Where Does RDVT Sit in CirclFi's Software - Application Rankings?

RDVT is ranked against every other Software - Application stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Software - Application stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Red Violet, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Red Violet, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Red Violet, Inc. (RDVT)'s intrinsic value at $25.63 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $5.11 to $26.70. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $26.70 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RDVT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $72.00, 0 of 9 active models suggest RDVT may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $25.63, 64.4% below the current price of $72.00 — a consensus view that RDVT is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Red Violet, Inc.'s business model in Software - Application.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.6 mean for RDVT?

Red Violet, Inc.'s QOC of 8.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RDVT?

CirclFi analyzes RDVT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on RDVT?

Of the 9 models currently active on RDVT, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $26.70 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $5.11. CirclFi's published fair value for RDVT is the median of that range, $25.63, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 84% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is RDVT a value trap in 2026?

Red Violet, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Red Violet, Inc. (RDVT) has a median fair value of $25.63 — 64.4% below the current price of $72.00 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/RDVT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this RDVT valuation
  • Financial statements: Red Violet, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001720116) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for RDVT as of ; valuations recomputed .

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