DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS) Fair Value 2026

DKS · Specialty Retail ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS) trades at $131.77, versus a $111.01 median fair value across its 13 active models — 15.8% below the current price. QOC: 8.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $15.94.

Key Facts

Ticker
DKS
Price
$131.77
Quality Score
8.4/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +75.6% upside with 64% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS) appears overvalued as of : the median of 13 independent fair value estimates is $111.01, 15.8% below the current price of $131.77. Estimates range from $15.94 to $295.57. DKS scores 8.4/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. DKS’s -15.8% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Specialty Retail sector median is -15.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give DKS?

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($131.77)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $15.94 -87.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $115.63 -12.2%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $111.01 -15.8%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $231.40 +75.6%
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What Is DKS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 13 independent models · $15.94 to $295.57

CirclFi's 13 active models place DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS) between $15.94 and $295.57 per share, a spread of 252% of the median. The median of that range — $111.01 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for DKS, against a current price of $131.77.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$15.94median $111.01$295.57
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$15.94
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$295.57
Model agreement4 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for DKS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on DKS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $111.01. Trading at $131.77, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -15.8%), as 8 of 13 models suggest limited further upside. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +124.3% (fair value: $295.57), while Bayesian DCF is the most conservative at -87.9% ($15.94). The spread between these extremes — +212.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About DKS?

13 of 13 models are currently active for DKS. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for DKS is $111.01 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $15.94 on its own, implying -87.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does DKS Rank in Specialty Retail?

Among 49 Specialty Retail stocks, DKS ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places DKS in the top tier.

The Specialty Retail sector introduces analytical considerations specific to retail business businesses. For DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc., metrics like same-store sales growth (comps) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is DKS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DKS a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. earns a quality score of 8.4/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +212.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every DKS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across DKS's 13 active models, average confidence is 55%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Retail Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Retail stocks with 13-model coverage

BBWBuild-A-Bear Workshop, Inc.QOC 8.5BWMXBetterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V.QOC 8.4ASOAcademy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.QOC 8.5TSCOTractor Supply CompanyQOC 8.3WINAWinmark CorporationQOC 8.6BBWIBath & Body Works, Inc.QOC 8.1RECTRectitude Holdings LtdQOC 7.2CGTLCreative Global Technology Holdings LimitedQOC 5.9PTLEPTL LimitedQOC 2.7WSMWilliams-Sonoma, Inc.QOC 9.3ARHSArhaus, Inc.QOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: BBW · BWMX · ASO · TSCO · WINA · BBWI · RECT · CGTL · PTLE · WSM · ARHS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to DKS?

7 companies across all industries closest to DKS’s Quality of Company score of 8.4/10.

FRHCFreedom Holdings Corp.QOC 8.4TILEInterface, Inc.QOC 8.4GCBCGreene County Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.4IRSIRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad AnónimaQOC 8.4MXCMexco Energy CorporationQOC 8.4BWXTBWX Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: FRHC · TILE · GCBC · IRS · MXC · BWXT · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS)'s intrinsic value at $111.01 — the median of 13 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $15.94 to $295.57. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $15.94 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is DKS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $131.77, 5 of 13 active models suggest DKS may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 13 fair value estimates is $111.01, 15.8% below the current price of $131.77 — a consensus view that DKS is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.'s business model in Specialty Retail.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.4 mean for DKS?

DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.'s QOC of 8.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on DKS?

CirclFi analyzes DKS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on DKS?

Of the 13 models currently active on DKS, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $295.57 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $15.94. CirclFi's published fair value for DKS is the median of that range, $111.01, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 252% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is DKS a value trap in 2026?

DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS) has a median fair value of $111.01 — 15.8% below the current price of $131.77 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/DKS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this DKS valuation
  • Financial statements: DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001089063) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for DKS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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