Dick's Sporting Goods Inc (DKS) Fair Value 2026

DKS · Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (14/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Dick's Sporting Goods Inc (DKS) trades at $216.05, approximately 30% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $165.79. QOC: 9.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 14/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
DKS
Price
$216.05
Quality Score
9.8/10
Value Trap Risk
14/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +10.9% upside with 59% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($216.05)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$165.79 -23.3%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$66.12 -69.4%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$149.17 -31.0%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$239.66 +10.9%

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What Is Dick's Sporting Goods Inc (DKS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Dick's Sporting Goods Inc's intrinsic value is estimated at $143.93. Trading at its current price of $216.05, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -33.4%. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +10.9% (fair value: $239.66), while EROIC is the most conservative at -72.1% ($60.18). The spread between these extremes — +83.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About DKS?

12 of 13 models are currently active for DKS. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates DKS's intrinsic value at $165.79, implying -23.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does DKS Rank in Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores?

Among 5 Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores stocks, DKS ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.8 places DKS in the top tier.

The Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores sector introduces analytical considerations specific to retail business businesses. For Dick's Sporting Goods Inc, metrics like same-store sales growth (comps) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is DKS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DKS a score of 14/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Dick's Sporting Goods Inc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Dick's Sporting Goods Inc earns a quality score of 9.8/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +83.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every DKS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across DKS's 12 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Dick's Sporting Goods Inc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

4 related Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: ASO · BNED · SPWH · PEW

Frequently Asked Questions About Dick's Sporting Goods Inc

What is Dick's Sporting Goods Inc's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Dick's Sporting Goods Inc (DKS) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $165.79. The Quality of Company score is 9.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is DKS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $216.05, 2 of 12 active models suggest DKS may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Dick's Sporting Goods Inc's business model in Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.8 mean for DKS?

Dick's Sporting Goods Inc's QOC of 9.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on DKS?

CirclFi analyzes DKS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is DKS a value trap in 2026?

Dick's Sporting Goods Inc's Value Trap score is 14/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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