W. R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) Fair Value 2026

WRB · Insurance - Property & Casualty ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, W. R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) trades at $68.34, versus a $57.17 median fair value across its 6 active models — 16.3% below the current price. QOC: 8.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
WRB
Price
$68.34
Quality Score
8.3/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.3/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is W. R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, W. R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) appears overvalued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $57.17, 16.3% below the current price of $68.34. Estimates range from $32.78 to $137.83. WRB scores 8.3/10 on fundamental quality and 17/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. WRB’s -16.3% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Insurance - Property & Casualty sector median is -14.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy W. R. Berkley Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give WRB?

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($68.34)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $63.10 -7.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $57.50 -15.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $42.68 -37.5%
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What Is WRB's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 6 independent models · $32.78 to $137.83

CirclFi's 6 active models place W. R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) between $32.78 and $137.83 per share, a spread of 184% of the median. The median of that range — $57.17 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for WRB, against a current price of $68.34.

Low · Regime CrossHigh · ML-RIV
$32.78median $57.17$137.83
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$32.78
Most bullish modelML Residual Income$137.83
Model agreement1 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for WRB. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on WRB, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is W. R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, W. R. Berkley Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $57.17, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $68.34. With 5 out of 6 models flagging downside (-16.3% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, ML-RIV sees the most upside at +101.7% (fair value: $137.83), while Regime Cross is the most conservative at -52.0% ($32.78). The spread between these extremes — +153.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About WRB?

6 of 13 models are currently active for WRB. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for WRB is $57.17 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does WRB Rank in Insurance - Property & Casualty?

Among 41 Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks, WRB ranks #23 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places WRB in the top tier.

Within the Insurance - Property & Casualty space, W. R. Berkley Corporation competes in an environment where combined ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is WRB a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns WRB a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for W. R. Berkley Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, W. R. Berkley Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 8.3/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +153.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every WRB valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across WRB's 6 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy W. R. Berkley Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Insurance - Property & Casualty Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks with 13-model coverage

WTMWhite Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd.QOC 8.4ASICAtegrity Specialty Insurance CoQOC 8.3UFCSUnited Fire Group, Inc.QOC 8.4SIGISelective Insurance Group, Inc.QOC 8.3ORIOld Republic International CorporationQOC 8.6SLDESlide Insurance Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.3HIPOHippo Holdings Inc.QOC 7.8HRTGHeritage Insurance Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.7AIZAssurant, Inc.QOC 8.9HCIHCI Group, Inc.QOC 9.9

Read investment analysis: WTM · ASIC · UFCS · SIGI · ORI · SLDE · HIPO · HRTG · AIZ · HCI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to WRB?

7 companies across all industries closest to WRB’s Quality of Company score of 8.3/10.

CENTCentral Garden & Pet CompanyQOC 8.3AXAxos Financial, Inc.QOC 8.3CWBCCommunity West BancsharesQOC 8.3LOBLive Oak Bancshares, Inc.QOC 8.3NUENucor CorporationQOC 8.3THCTenet Healthcare CorporationQOC 8.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CENT · AX · CWBC · LOB · NUE · THC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About W. R. Berkley Corporation’s Valuation?

What is W. R. Berkley Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts W. R. Berkley Corporation (WRB)'s intrinsic value at $57.17 — the median of 6 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $32.78 to $137.83. The Quality of Company score is 8.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is WRB overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $68.34, 1 of 6 active models suggest WRB may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $57.17, 16.3% below the current price of $68.34 — a consensus view that WRB is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits W. R. Berkley Corporation's business model in Insurance - Property & Casualty.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.3 mean for WRB?

W. R. Berkley Corporation's QOC of 8.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on WRB?

CirclFi analyzes WRB with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on WRB?

Of the 6 models currently active on WRB, ML Residual Income is the most bullish at $137.83 per share, and Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bearish at $32.78. CirclFi's published fair value for WRB is the median of that range, $57.17, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 184% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is WRB a value trap in 2026?

W. R. Berkley Corporation's Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, W. R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) has a median fair value of $57.17 — 16.3% below the current price of $68.34 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/WRB/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this WRB valuation
  • Financial statements: W. R. Berkley Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000011544) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for WRB as of ; valuations recomputed .

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