Telecom Argentina S.A. (TEO) Fair Value 2026

TEO · Telecom Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (14/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Telecom Argentina S.A. (TEO) trades at $13.06, versus a $11.65 median fair value across its 7 active models — 10.8% below the current price. QOC: 6.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 14/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TEO
Price
$13.06
Quality Score
6.1/10
Value Trap Risk
14/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: RCMH-DCF suggests +341.6% upside with 49% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (7/13) may reduce confidence

Is Telecom Argentina S.A. (TEO) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Telecom Argentina S.A. (TEO) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $11.65, 10.8% below the current price of $13.06. Estimates range from $4.33 to $57.67. TEO scores 6.1/10 on fundamental quality and 14/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. TEO’s -10.8% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Telecom Services sector median is +31.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Telecom Argentina S.A. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TEO?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($13.06)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $17.78 +36.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $12.93 -1.0%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $57.67 +341.6%
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What Is TEO's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $4.33 to $57.67

CirclFi's 7 active models place Telecom Argentina S.A. (TEO) between $4.33 and $57.67 per share, a spread of 458% of the median. The median of that range — $11.65 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for TEO, against a current price of $13.06.

Low · Sentiment SOTPHigh · RCMH-DCF
$4.33median $11.65$57.67
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelSentiment SOTP$4.33
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$57.67
Model agreement2 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for TEO. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on TEO, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Telecom Argentina S.A. (TEO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Telecom Argentina S.A.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $11.65. Trading at $13.06, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -10.8%), as 4 of 7 models suggest limited further upside. Notably, RCMH-DCF sees the most upside at +341.6% (fair value: $57.67), while Sentiment SOTP is the most conservative at -66.8% ($4.33). The spread between these extremes — +408.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About TEO?

7 of 13 models are currently active for TEO. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for TEO is $11.65 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TEO Rank in Telecom Services?

Among 56 Telecom Services stocks, TEO ranks #34 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.1 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Telecom Services Stocks →

Telecom Argentina S.A.'s positioning within the Telecom Services segment means that content cost ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including spectrum monetization — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is TEO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TEO a score of 14/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Telecom Argentina S.A.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Telecom Argentina S.A. scores 6.1 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +408.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TEO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TEO's 7 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Telecom Argentina S.A. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Telecom Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Telecom Services stocks with 13-model coverage

CABOCable One, Inc.QOC 6.1VODVodafone Group Public Limited CompanyQOC 6.1ECHOEchoStar CorporationQOC 6.1PCLAPicoCELA Inc.QOC 6.0LILALiberty Latin America Ltd.QOC 6.2ELWTElauwit Connection, Inc.QOC 6.0VPLMVoip-Pal.com Inc.QOC 4.6TIMBTIM S.A.QOC 8.3AMXAmérica Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V.QOC 7.4IRDMIridium Communications Inc.QOC 8.7IDTIDT CorporationQOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: CABO · VOD · ECHO · PCLA · LILA · ELWT · VPLM · TIMB · AMX · IRDM · IDT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TEO?

7 companies across all industries closest to TEO’s Quality of Company score of 6.1/10.

RILYBRC Group Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.1FSKFS KKR Capital Corp.QOC 6.1BXBLBoxabl Inc.QOC 6.1INISRadnostix, Inc.QOC 6.1IMRNImmuron LimitedQOC 6.1AAWHAscend Wellness Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: RILY · FSK · BXBL · INIS · IMRN · AAWH · NVDA

Where Does TEO Sit in CirclFi's Telecom Services Rankings?

TEO is ranked against every other Telecom Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Telecom Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Telecom Argentina S.A.’s Valuation?

What is Telecom Argentina S.A.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Telecom Argentina S.A. (TEO)'s intrinsic value at $11.65 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $4.33 to $57.67. The Quality of Company score is 6.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TEO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $13.06, 2 of 7 active models suggest TEO may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $11.65, 10.8% below the current price of $13.06 — a consensus view that TEO is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Telecom Argentina S.A.'s business model in Telecom Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.1 mean for TEO?

Telecom Argentina S.A.'s QOC of 6.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TEO?

CirclFi analyzes TEO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on TEO?

Of the 7 models currently active on TEO, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $57.67 per share, and Sentiment SOTP is the most bearish at $4.33. CirclFi's published fair value for TEO is the median of that range, $11.65, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 458% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is TEO a value trap in 2026?

Telecom Argentina S.A.'s Value Trap score is 14/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Telecom Argentina S.A. (TEO) has a median fair value of $11.65 — 10.8% below the current price of $13.06 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TEO/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TEO valuation
  • Financial statements: Telecom Argentina S.A. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000932470) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for TEO as of ; valuations recomputed .

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