Telecom Argentina SA (TEO) Fair Value 2026

TEO · Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone) ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-17, Telecom Argentina SA (TEO) trades at $13.31, approximately 103% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $6.56. QOC: 2.0/10. 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TEO
Price
$13.31
Quality Score
2.0/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +64.5% upside with 2% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.0/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Telecom Argentina SA (TEO) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Telecom Argentina SA (TEO) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $6.56, 50.7% below the current price of $13.31. Estimates range from $1.97 to $25.94. TEO scores 2.0/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Telecom Argentina SA Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($13.31)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$6.56 -50.7%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$2.48 -81.3%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$21.89 +64.5%
EROIC Spread
Medium Conviction
$3.62 -72.8%

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What Is Telecom Argentina SA (TEO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Telecom Argentina SA's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $10.86. Trading at $13.31, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -18.4%), as 6 of 9 models suggest limited further upside. Notably, ML-RIV sees the most upside at +94.9% (fair value: $25.94), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -85.2% ($1.97). The spread between these extremes — +180.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About TEO?

9 of 13 models are currently active for TEO. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates TEO's intrinsic value at $6.56, implying -50.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TEO Rank in Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone)?

Among 21 Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone) stocks, TEO ranks #20 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.0 signals below-average fundamentals.

Telecom Argentina SA's positioning within the Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone) segment means that content cost ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including spectrum monetization — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is TEO a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for TEO. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Telecom Argentina SA. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Telecom Argentina SA scores 2.0 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a weak rating that exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +180.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TEO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TEO's 9 active models, average confidence is 10%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Telecom Argentina SA Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone) Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone) stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: TKC · IDT · ATEX · TDS · VZ

Frequently Asked Questions About Telecom Argentina SA

What is Telecom Argentina SA's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Telecom Argentina SA (TEO) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $6.56. The Quality of Company score is 2.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TEO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $13.31, 3 of 9 active models suggest TEO may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $6.56, 50.7% below the current price of $13.31 — a consensus view that TEO is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Telecom Argentina SA's business model in Telephone Communications (No Radiotelephone).

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.0 mean for TEO?

Telecom Argentina SA's QOC of 2.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TEO?

CirclFi analyzes TEO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is TEO a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for TEO at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Telecom Argentina SA (TEO) has a median fair value of $6.56 — 50.7% below the current price of $13.31 — as of 2026-07-17.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TEO/ · Methodology

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