América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. (AMX) Fair Value 2026

AMX · Telecom Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. (AMX) trades at $23.18, versus a $42.99 median fair value across its 10 active models — 85.5% above the current price. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $91.38.

Key Facts

Ticker
AMX
Price
$23.18
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +294.2% upside with 48% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. (AMX) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. (AMX) appears undervalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $42.99, 85.5% above the current price of $23.18. Estimates range from $10.58 to $91.38. AMX scores 7.4/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. AMX’s +85.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Telecom Services sector median is +31.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AMX?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($23.18)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $91.38 +294.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $49.69 +114.4%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $44.33 +91.2%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $20.77 -10.4%
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What Is AMX's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $10.58 to $91.38

CirclFi's 10 active models place América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. (AMX) between $10.58 and $91.38 per share, a spread of 188% of the median. The median of that range — $42.99 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for AMX, against a current price of $23.18.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Bayesian DCF
$10.58median $42.99$91.38
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$10.58
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$91.38
Model agreement8 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for AMX. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on AMX, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. (AMX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $23.18. Based on our 13-model framework, América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $42.99 — representing +85.5% implied upside — with 8 out of 10 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: Bayesian DCF targets $91.38 (+294.2%), versus Markov DDM at $10.58 (-54.3%). This +348.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About AMX?

10 of 13 models are currently active for AMX. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for AMX is $42.99 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $91.38 on its own, implying +294.2% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AMX Rank in Telecom Services?

Among 56 Telecom Services stocks, AMX ranks #20 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Telecom Services Stocks →

The Telecom Services sector introduces analytical considerations specific to media and communications company businesses. For América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V., metrics like capital intensity ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is AMX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AMX a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. earns a quality score of 7.4/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +348.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AMX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AMX's 10 active models, average confidence is 36%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Telecom Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Telecom Services stocks with 13-model coverage

ADArray Digital Infrastructure, Inc.QOC 7.4GOGOGogo Inc.QOC 7.3TUTELUS CorporationQOC 7.4TKCTurkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S.QOC 7.2KYIVKyivstar Group Ltd.QOC 7.5SHENShenandoah Telecommunications CompanyQOC 7.1TEOTelecom Argentina S.A.QOC 6.1VPLMVoip-Pal.com Inc.QOC 4.6TIMBTIM S.A.QOC 8.3IRDMIridium Communications Inc.QOC 8.7IDTIDT CorporationQOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: AD · GOGO · TU · TKC · KYIV · SHEN · TEO · VPLM · TIMB · IRDM · IDT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AMX?

7 companies across all industries closest to AMX’s Quality of Company score of 7.4/10.

APTAlpha Pro Tech, Ltd.QOC 7.4KIMKimco Realty CorporationQOC 7.4BAThe Boeing CompanyQOC 7.4JGAurora Mobile LimitedQOC 7.4KDKyndryl Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.4GDSGDS Holdings LimitedQOC 7.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: APT · KIM · BA · JG · KD · GDS · NVDA

Where Does AMX Sit in CirclFi's Telecom Services Rankings?

AMX is ranked against every other Telecom Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Telecom Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V.’s Valuation?

What is América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. (AMX)'s intrinsic value at $42.99 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $10.58 to $91.38. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $91.38 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AMX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $23.18, 8 of 10 active models suggest AMX may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $42.99, 85.5% above the current price of $23.18 — a consensus view that AMX is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V.'s business model in Telecom Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for AMX?

América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V.'s QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AMX?

CirclFi analyzes AMX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on AMX?

Of the 10 models currently active on AMX, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $91.38 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $10.58. CirclFi's published fair value for AMX is the median of that range, $42.99, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 188% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is AMX a value trap in 2026?

América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. (AMX) has a median fair value of $42.99 — 85.5% above the current price of $23.18 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AMX/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AMX valuation
  • Financial statements: América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001129137) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AMX as of ; valuations recomputed .

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