Telefônica Brasil S.A. (VIV) Fair Value 2026

VIV · Telecom Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Telefônica Brasil S.A. (VIV) trades at $11.33, versus a $18.62 median fair value across its 8 active models — 64.4% above the current price. QOC: 7.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $40.10.

Key Facts

Ticker
VIV
Price
$11.33
Quality Score
7.8/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +253.9% upside with 28% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (8/13) may reduce confidence

Is Telefônica Brasil S.A. (VIV) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Telefônica Brasil S.A. (VIV) appears undervalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $18.62, 64.4% above the current price of $11.33. Estimates range from $2.28 to $40.62. VIV scores 7.8/10 on fundamental quality and 24/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. VIV’s +64.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Telecom Services sector median is +30.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Telefônica Brasil S.A. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give VIV?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($11.33)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $40.10 +253.9%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $23.14 +104.2%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $23.30 +105.6%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $11.17 -1.4%
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What Is VIV's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $2.28 to $40.62

CirclFi's 8 active models place Telefônica Brasil S.A. (VIV) between $2.28 and $40.62 per share, a spread of 206% of the median. The median of that range — $18.62 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for VIV, against a current price of $11.33.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · RCMH-DCF
$2.28median $18.62$40.62
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$2.28
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$40.62
Model agreement5 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for VIV. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on VIV, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Telefônica Brasil S.A. (VIV) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Telefônica Brasil S.A.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $18.62, suggesting a +64.4% median upside from the current price of $11.33. While 5 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 2 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: RCMH-DCF targets $40.62 (+258.6%), versus Dynamic NAV at $2.28 (-79.9%). This +338.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About VIV?

8 of 13 models are currently active for VIV. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for VIV is $18.62 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $40.10 on its own, implying +253.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does VIV Rank in Telecom Services?

Among 55 Telecom Services stocks, VIV ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Telecom Services Stocks →

Within the Telecom Services space, Telefônica Brasil S.A. competes in an environment where capital intensity ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is VIV a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns VIV a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Telefônica Brasil S.A.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Telefônica Brasil S.A.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.8/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +338.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every VIV valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across VIV's 8 active models, average confidence is 22%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Telefônica Brasil S.A. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Telecom Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Telecom Services stocks with 13-model coverage

TIGOMillicom International Cellular S.A.QOC 8.0VZVerizon Communications Inc.QOC 7.7CHTChunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd.QOC 8.1SKMSK Telecom Co., Ltd.QOC 7.6TAT&T Inc.QOC 8.1TLKPerusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia TbkQOC 7.5PHIPLDT Inc.QOC 6.8FNGRFingerMotion, Inc.QOC 5.9UCLuCloudlink Group Inc.QOC 3.0IRDMIridium Communications Inc.QOC 8.7IDTIDT CorporationQOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: TIGO · VZ · CHT · SKM · T · TLK · PHI · FNGR · UCL · IRDM · IDT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to VIV?

7 companies across all industries closest to VIV’s Quality of Company score of 7.8/10.

BURLBurlington Stores, Inc.QOC 7.8DTMDT Midstream, Inc.QOC 7.8BANCBanc of California, Inc.QOC 7.8ESCAEscalade, IncorporatedQOC 7.8RCKYRocky Brands, Inc.QOC 7.8NKSHNational Bankshares, Inc.QOC 7.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: BURL · DTM · BANC · ESCA · RCKY · NKSH · NVDA

Where Does VIV Sit in CirclFi's Telecom Services Rankings?

VIV is ranked against every other Telecom Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Telecom Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Telefônica Brasil S.A.’s Valuation?

What is Telefônica Brasil S.A.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Telefônica Brasil S.A. (VIV)'s intrinsic value at $18.62 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $2.28 to $40.62. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $40.10 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is VIV overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $11.33, 5 of 8 active models suggest VIV may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $18.62, 64.4% above the current price of $11.33 — a consensus view that VIV is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Telefônica Brasil S.A.'s business model in Telecom Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.8 mean for VIV?

Telefônica Brasil S.A.'s QOC of 7.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on VIV?

CirclFi analyzes VIV with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on VIV?

Of the 8 models currently active on VIV, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $40.62 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $2.28. CirclFi's published fair value for VIV is the median of that range, $18.62, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 206% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is VIV a value trap in 2026?

Telefônica Brasil S.A.'s Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Telefônica Brasil S.A. (VIV) has a median fair value of $18.62 — 64.4% above the current price of $11.33 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/VIV/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this VIV valuation
  • Financial statements: Telefônica Brasil S.A. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001066119) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for VIV as of ; valuations recomputed .

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