Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. (TKC) Fair Value 2026

TKC · Telecom Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (33/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. (TKC) trades at $5.40, versus a $6.49 median fair value across its 11 active models — 20.2% above the current price. QOC: 7.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 33/100 (LOW). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $22.56.

Key Facts

Ticker
TKC
Price
$5.40
Quality Score
7.2/10
Value Trap Risk
33/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +317.8% upside with 41% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. (TKC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. (TKC) appears undervalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $6.49, 20.2% above the current price of $5.40. Estimates range from $0.99 to $22.56. TKC scores 7.2/10 on fundamental quality and 33/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. TKC’s +20.2% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Telecom Services sector median is +30.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TKC?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.40)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $22.56 +317.8%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $3.35 -37.9%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $6.74 +24.9%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $19.47 +260.6%
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What Is TKC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $0.99 to $22.56

CirclFi's 11 active models place Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. (TKC) between $0.99 and $22.56 per share, a spread of 332% of the median. The median of that range — $6.49 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for TKC, against a current price of $5.40.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Bayesian DCF
$0.99median $6.49$22.56
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$0.99
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$22.56
Model agreement6 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for TKC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on TKC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. (TKC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $6.49, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $5.40. With a median implied return of +20.2% across a split 6–5 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +399.5% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at +317.8% (fair value: $22.56), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -81.6% ($0.99). The spread between these extremes — +399.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About TKC?

11 of 13 models are currently active for TKC. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for TKC is $6.49 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $22.56 on its own, implying +317.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TKC Rank in Telecom Services?

Among 55 Telecom Services stocks, TKC ranks #21 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.2 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Telecom Services Stocks →

The Telecom Services sector introduces analytical considerations specific to telecom operator businesses. For Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S., metrics like fiber/5G penetration provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is TKC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TKC a score of 33/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. earns a quality score of 7.2/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +399.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TKC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TKC's 11 active models, average confidence is 31%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Telecom Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Telecom Services stocks with 13-model coverage

GOGOGogo Inc.QOC 7.3SHENShenandoah Telecommunications CompanyQOC 7.1AMXAmérica Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V.QOC 7.4ATNIATN International, Inc.QOC 7.1ADArray Digital Infrastructure, Inc.QOC 7.4GSATGlobalstar, Inc.QOC 6.9VODVodafone Group Public Limited CompanyQOC 6.1SLDCSolidus Communications Inc.QOC 4.5RCIRogers Communications Inc.QOC 8.3IRDMIridium Communications Inc.QOC 8.7IDTIDT CorporationQOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: GOGO · SHEN · AMX · ATNI · AD · GSAT · VOD · SLDC · RCI · IRDM · IDT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TKC?

7 companies across all industries closest to TKC’s Quality of Company score of 7.2/10.

ALHCAlignment Healthcare, Inc.QOC 7.2AUNAAuna SAQOC 7.2RECTRectitude Holdings LtdQOC 7.2PCORProcore Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.2ARTWArt's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc.QOC 7.2CHMICherry Hill Mortgage Investment CorporationQOC 7.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ALHC · AUNA · RECT · PCOR · ARTW · CHMI · NVDA

Where Does TKC Sit in CirclFi's Telecom Services Rankings?

TKC is ranked against every other Telecom Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Telecom Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S.’s Valuation?

What is Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. (TKC)'s intrinsic value at $6.49 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.99 to $22.56. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $22.56 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TKC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.40, 6 of 11 active models suggest TKC may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $6.49, 20.2% above the current price of $5.40 — a consensus view that TKC is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S.'s business model in Telecom Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.2 mean for TKC?

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S.'s QOC of 7.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TKC?

CirclFi analyzes TKC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on TKC?

Of the 11 models currently active on TKC, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $22.56 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $0.99. CirclFi's published fair value for TKC is the median of that range, $6.49, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 332% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is TKC a value trap in 2026?

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S.'s Value Trap score is 33/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. (TKC) has a median fair value of $6.49 — 20.2% above the current price of $5.40 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TKC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TKC valuation
  • Financial statements: Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001071321) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for TKC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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