Liberty Latin America Ltd. (LILA) Fair Value 2026

LILA · Cable & Other Pay Television Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (33/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Liberty Latin America Ltd. (LILA) trades at $7.49, approximately 2% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $7.32. QOC: 5.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 33/100 (LOW). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
LILA
Price
$7.49
Quality Score
5.9/10
Value Trap Risk
33/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Markov DDM suggests +321.9% upside with 55% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is Liberty Latin America Ltd. (LILA) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Liberty Latin America Ltd. (LILA) appears undervalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $17.95, 139.6% above the current price of $7.49. Estimates range from $0.26 to $31.60. LILA scores 5.9/10 on fundamental quality and 33/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Liberty Latin America Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($7.49)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$7.32 -2.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$30.37 +305.5%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$18.65 +149.0%
Markov DDM
High Conviction
$31.60 +321.9%

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What Is Liberty Latin America Ltd. (LILA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Liberty Latin America Ltd.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $17.85, suggesting a +138.3% average upside from the current price of $7.49. While 7 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 1 model flags potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $31.60 (+321.9%), versus ML-RIV at $0.26 (-96.5%). This +418.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About LILA?

11 of 13 models are currently active for LILA. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates LILA's intrinsic value at $7.32, implying -2.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LILA Rank in Cable & Other Pay Television Services?

Among 18 Cable & Other Pay Television Services stocks, LILA ranks #16 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Liberty Latin America Ltd. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is LILA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LILA a score of 33/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Liberty Latin America Ltd.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Liberty Latin America Ltd. scores 5.9 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +418.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LILA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LILA's 11 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Liberty Latin America Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Cable & Other Pay Television Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Cable & Other Pay Television Services stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CMCSA · CHTR · RCI · CCZ · GLIBK

Frequently Asked Questions About Liberty Latin America Ltd.

What is Liberty Latin America Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Liberty Latin America Ltd. (LILA) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $7.32. The Quality of Company score is 5.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LILA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $7.49, 8 of 11 active models suggest LILA may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $17.95, 139.6% above the current price of $7.49 — a consensus view that LILA is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Liberty Latin America Ltd.'s business model in Cable & Other Pay Television Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.9 mean for LILA?

Liberty Latin America Ltd.'s QOC of 5.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LILA?

CirclFi analyzes LILA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is LILA a value trap in 2026?

Liberty Latin America Ltd.'s Value Trap score is 33/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Liberty Latin America Ltd. (LILA) has a median fair value of $17.95 — 139.6% above the current price of $7.49 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/LILA/ · Methodology

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