Kyivstar Group Ltd. (KYIV) Fair Value 2026

KYIV · Telecom Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (13/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Kyivstar Group Ltd. (KYIV) trades at $13.57, versus a $13.17 median fair value across its 10 active models — 2.9% below the current price. QOC: 7.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 13/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $14.69.

Key Facts

Ticker
KYIV
Price
$13.57
Quality Score
7.5/10
Value Trap Risk
13/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +97.1% upside with 43% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is Kyivstar Group Ltd. (KYIV) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Kyivstar Group Ltd. (KYIV) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $13.17, within 2.9% of the current price of $13.57. Estimates range from $3.28 to $26.75. KYIV scores 7.5/10 on fundamental quality and 13/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. KYIV’s -2.9% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Telecom Services sector median is +30.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Kyivstar Group Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give KYIV?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($13.57)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $14.69 +8.3%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $10.25 -24.4%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $13.09 -3.5%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $26.75 +97.1%
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What Is KYIV's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $3.28 to $26.75

CirclFi's 10 active models place Kyivstar Group Ltd. (KYIV) between $3.28 and $26.75 per share, a spread of 178% of the median. The median of that range — $13.17 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for KYIV, against a current price of $13.57.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · First Chicago
$3.28median $13.17$26.75
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$3.28
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$26.75
Model agreement3 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for KYIV. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on KYIV, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Kyivstar Group Ltd. (KYIV) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Kyivstar Group Ltd. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $13.57. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $13.17 (-2.9% median upside), masking a wide model spread between the 3 bullish models and 4 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $26.75 (+97.1%), versus Dynamic NAV at $3.28 (-75.8%). This +172.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About KYIV?

10 of 13 models are currently active for KYIV. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for KYIV is $13.17 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $14.69 on its own, implying +8.3% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does KYIV Rank in Telecom Services?

Among 55 Telecom Services stocks, KYIV ranks #16 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.5 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Telecom Services Stocks →

As a media and communications company, Kyivstar Group Ltd. operates in a sector where average revenue per user (ARPU) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating KYIV should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is KYIV a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns KYIV a score of 13/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Kyivstar Group Ltd.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Kyivstar Group Ltd.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.5/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +172.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every KYIV valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across KYIV's 10 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Kyivstar Group Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Telecom Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Telecom Services stocks with 13-model coverage

TLKPerusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia TbkQOC 7.5TUTELUS CorporationQOC 7.4SKMSK Telecom Co., Ltd.QOC 7.6ADArray Digital Infrastructure, Inc.QOC 7.4VZVerizon Communications Inc.QOC 7.7AMXAmérica Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V.QOC 7.4SIFYSify Technologies LimitedQOC 6.3KTELKonaTel, Inc.QOC 5.6IDTIDT CorporationQOC 8.6IRDMIridium Communications Inc.QOC 8.7

Read investment analysis: TLK · TU · SKM · AD · VZ · AMX · SIFY · KTEL · IDT · IRDM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to KYIV?

7 companies across all industries closest to KYIV’s Quality of Company score of 7.5/10.

CONConcentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.QOC 7.5USNAUSANA Health Sciences, Inc.QOC 7.5LOANManhattan Bridge Capital, Inc.QOC 7.5PPIHPerma-Pipe International Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.5HAPNHappen, Inc.QOC 7.5IHSIHS Holding LimitedQOC 7.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CON · USNA · LOAN · PPIH · HAPN · IHS · NVDA

Where Does KYIV Sit in CirclFi's Telecom Services Rankings?

KYIV is ranked against every other Telecom Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Telecom Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Kyivstar Group Ltd.’s Valuation?

What is Kyivstar Group Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Kyivstar Group Ltd. (KYIV)'s intrinsic value at $13.17 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $3.28 to $26.75. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $14.69 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is KYIV overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $13.57, 4 of 10 active models suggest KYIV may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $13.17, within 2.9% of the current price of $13.57 — a consensus view that KYIV is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Kyivstar Group Ltd.'s business model in Telecom Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.5 mean for KYIV?

Kyivstar Group Ltd.'s QOC of 7.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on KYIV?

CirclFi analyzes KYIV with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on KYIV?

Of the 10 models currently active on KYIV, First Chicago is the most bullish at $26.75 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $3.28. CirclFi's published fair value for KYIV is the median of that range, $13.17, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 178% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is KYIV a value trap in 2026?

Kyivstar Group Ltd.'s Value Trap score is 13/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Kyivstar Group Ltd. (KYIV) has a median fair value of $13.17 — within 2.9% of the current price of $13.57 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/KYIV/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this KYIV valuation
  • Financial statements: Kyivstar Group Ltd. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002062440) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for KYIV as of ; valuations recomputed .

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