Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. (CHT) Fair Value 2026

CHT · Telecom Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. (CHT) trades at $46.08, versus a $24.02 median fair value across its 9 active models — 47.9% below the current price. QOC: 8.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $34.10.

Key Facts

Ticker
CHT
Price
$46.08
Quality Score
8.1/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.1/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. (CHT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. (CHT) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $24.02, 47.9% below the current price of $46.08. Estimates range from $13.86 to $45.43. CHT scores 8.1/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. CHT’s -47.9% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Telecom Services sector median is +39.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CHT?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($46.08)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $34.10 -26.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $24.02 -47.9%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $26.33 -42.9%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $19.20 -58.3%
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What Is CHT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $13.86 to $45.43

CirclFi's 9 active models place Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. (CHT) between $13.86 and $45.43 per share, a spread of 131% of the median. The median of that range — $24.02 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CHT, against a current price of $46.08.

Low · Regime CrossHigh · RCMH-DCF
$13.86median $24.02$45.43
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$13.86
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$45.43
Model agreement0 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CHT. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CHT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. (CHT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $24.02, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $46.08. With 8 out of 9 models flagging downside (-47.9% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, RCMH-DCF sees the most upside at -1.4% (fair value: $45.43), while Regime Cross is the most conservative at -69.9% ($13.86). The spread between these extremes — +68.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About CHT?

9 of 13 models are currently active for CHT. All 9 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for CHT is $24.02 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $34.10 on its own, implying -26.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CHT Rank in Telecom Services?

Among 55 Telecom Services stocks, CHT ranks #11 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.1 places CHT in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Telecom Services Stocks →

Within the Telecom Services space, Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. competes in an environment where spectrum holdings value often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is CHT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CHT a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.1/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +68.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CHT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CHT's 9 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Telecom Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Telecom Services stocks with 13-model coverage

CXDOCrexendo, Inc.QOC 8.1TIGOMillicom International Cellular S.A.QOC 8.0TAT&T Inc.QOC 8.1VIVTelefônica Brasil S.A.QOC 7.8ATEXAnterix Inc.QOC 8.2VZVerizon Communications Inc.QOC 7.7ATNIATN International, Inc.QOC 7.1IQSTiQSTEL Inc.QOC 5.9UCLuCloudlink Group Inc.QOC 3.0IDTIDT CorporationQOC 8.7IRDMIridium Communications Inc.QOC 8.7

Read investment analysis: CXDO · TIGO · T · VIV · ATEX · VZ · ATNI · IQST · UCL · IDT · IRDM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CHT?

7 companies across all industries closest to CHT’s Quality of Company score of 8.1/10.

KBHKB HomeQOC 8.1PGCPeapack-Gladstone Financial CorporationQOC 8.1KRCKilroy Realty CorporationQOC 8.1ANAutoNation, Inc.QOC 8.1COSOCoastalSouth Bancshares, Inc.QOC 8.1MSGEMadison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.QOC 8.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: KBH · PGC · KRC · AN · COSO · MSGE · NVDA

Where Does CHT Sit in CirclFi's Telecom Services Rankings?

CHT is ranked against every other Telecom Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Telecom Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd.’s Valuation?

What is Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. (CHT)'s intrinsic value at $24.02 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $13.86 to $45.43. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $34.10 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CHT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $46.08, 0 of 9 active models suggest CHT may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $24.02, 47.9% below the current price of $46.08 — a consensus view that CHT is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd.'s business model in Telecom Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.1 mean for CHT?

Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd.'s QOC of 8.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CHT?

CirclFi analyzes CHT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CHT?

Of the 9 models currently active on CHT, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $45.43 per share, and Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bearish at $13.86. CirclFi's published fair value for CHT is the median of that range, $24.02, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 131% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CHT a value trap in 2026?

Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. (CHT) has a median fair value of $24.02 — 47.9% below the current price of $46.08 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CHT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CHT valuation
  • Financial statements: Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001132924) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CHT as of ; valuations recomputed .

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