AT&T Inc. (T) Fair Value 2026

T · Telecom Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, AT&T Inc. (T) trades at $26.01, versus a $29.71 median fair value across its 12 active models — 14.2% above the current price. QOC: 8.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $30.38.

Key Facts

Ticker
T
Price
$26.01
Quality Score
8.1/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +18.6% upside with 19% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Is AT&T Inc. (T) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, AT&T Inc. (T) appears undervalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $29.71, 14.2% above the current price of $26.01. Estimates range from $9.28 to $67.28. T scores 8.1/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. T’s +14.2% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Telecom Services sector median is +31.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy AT&T Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give T?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($26.01)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $30.38 +16.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $9.28 -64.3%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $30.85 +18.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $21.13 -18.8%
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What Is T's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $9.28 to $67.28

CirclFi's 12 active models place AT&T Inc. (T) between $9.28 and $67.28 per share, a spread of 195% of the median. The median of that range — $29.71 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for T, against a current price of $26.01.

Low · EPVHigh · RCMH-DCF
$9.28median $29.71$67.28
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$9.28
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$67.28
Model agreement7 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for T. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on T, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is AT&T Inc. (T) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on AT&T Inc. at $26.01. With an estimated intrinsic value of $29.71 and 7 of 12 models pointing higher, the median implied return is +14.2%. The most optimistic model, RCMH-DCF, places fair value at $67.28 (+158.7%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $9.28 (-64.3%). This +223.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about AT&T Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About T?

12 of 13 models are currently active for T. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for T is $29.71 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $30.38 on its own, implying +16.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does T Rank in Telecom Services?

Among 56 Telecom Services stocks, T ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.1 places T in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Telecom Services Stocks →

The Telecom Services sector introduces analytical considerations specific to telecommunications businesses. For AT&T Inc., metrics like fiber/5G penetration provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is T a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns T a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for AT&T Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, AT&T Inc. earns a quality score of 8.1/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +223.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every T valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across T's 12 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy AT&T Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Telecom Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Telecom Services stocks with 13-model coverage

ATEXAnterix Inc.QOC 8.2CXDOCrexendo, Inc.QOC 8.1RCIRogers Communications Inc.QOC 8.3CHTChunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd.QOC 8.1TIMBTIM S.A.QOC 8.3TIGOMillicom International Cellular S.A.QOC 8.0SHENShenandoah Telecommunications CompanyQOC 7.1ELWTElauwit Connection, Inc.QOC 6.0SURGSurgePays, Inc.QOC 4.4IRDMIridium Communications Inc.QOC 8.7IDTIDT CorporationQOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: ATEX · CXDO · RCI · CHT · TIMB · TIGO · SHEN · ELWT · SURG · IRDM · IDT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to T?

7 companies across all industries closest to T’s Quality of Company score of 8.1/10.

MEOHMethanex CorporationQOC 8.1WENThe Wendy's CompanyQOC 8.1ARMKAramarkQOC 8.1OLEDUniversal Display CorporationQOC 8.1CCSIConsensus Cloud Solutions, Inc.QOC 8.1TROWT. Rowe Price Group, Inc.QOC 8.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MEOH · WEN · ARMK · OLED · CCSI · TROW · NVDA

Where Does T Sit in CirclFi's Telecom Services Rankings?

T is ranked against every other Telecom Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Telecom Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About AT&T Inc.’s Valuation?

What is AT&T Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts AT&T Inc. (T)'s intrinsic value at $29.71 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $9.28 to $67.28. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $30.38 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is T overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $26.01, 7 of 12 active models suggest T may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $29.71, 14.2% above the current price of $26.01 — a consensus view that T is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits AT&T Inc.'s business model in Telecom Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.1 mean for T?

AT&T Inc.'s QOC of 8.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on T?

CirclFi analyzes T with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on T?

Of the 12 models currently active on T, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $67.28 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $9.28. CirclFi's published fair value for T is the median of that range, $29.71, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 195% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is T a value trap in 2026?

AT&T Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, AT&T Inc. (T) has a median fair value of $29.71 — 14.2% above the current price of $26.01 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/T/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this T valuation
  • Financial statements: AT&T Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000732717) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for T as of ; valuations recomputed .

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