Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (ETD) Fair Value 2026

ETD · Wood Household Furniture, (No Upholstered) ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (15/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (ETD) trades at $22.12, approximately 47% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $41.77. QOC: 8.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 15/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ETD
Price
$22.12
Quality Score
8.7/10
Value Trap Risk
15/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +88.9% upside with 63% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($22.12)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $41.77 +88.9%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
 $19.17 -13.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $24.62 +11.3%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $18.99 -14.1%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 8 additional models including EROIC Spread, ML-RIV, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 12 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (ETD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $22.12. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $22.84 (+3.3% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 5 bullish models and 6 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: Bayesian DCF targets $41.77 (+88.9%), versus Dynamic NAV at $11.25 (-49.1%). This +138.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About ETD?

12 of 13 models are currently active for ETD. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ETD's intrinsic value at $41.77, implying +88.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ETD Rank in Wood Household Furniture, (No Upholstered)?

Among 3 Wood Household Furniture, (No Upholstered) stocks, ETD ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.7 places ETD in the top tier.

As a consumer-facing company, Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. operates in a sector where same-store sales growth (comps) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating ETD should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is ETD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ETD a score of 15/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Ethan Allen Interiors Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. is rated at 8.7/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +138.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ETD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ETD's 12 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Wood Household Furniture, (No Upholstered) Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

2 related Wood Household Furniture, (No Upholstered) stocks with 13-model coverage

MBCMasterBrand, Inc.QOC 7.8BSETBassett Furniture Industries, IQOC 7.0

Read investment analysis: MBC · BSET

Frequently Asked Questions About Ethan Allen Interiors Inc.

What is Ethan Allen Interiors Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Ethan Allen Interiors Inc. (ETD) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $41.77. The Quality of Company score is 8.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ETD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $22.12, 5 of 12 active models suggest ETD may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Ethan Allen Interiors Inc.'s business model in Wood Household Furniture, (No Upholstered).

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.7 mean for ETD?

Ethan Allen Interiors Inc.'s QOC of 8.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ETD?

CirclFi analyzes ETD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ETD a value trap in 2026?

Ethan Allen Interiors Inc.'s Value Trap score is 15/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 12 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on ETD.

Unlock All 12 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access