What Is Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Yum China Holdings, Inc. at $43.90. With an estimated intrinsic value of $51.98 and 8 of 13 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +18.4%. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $110.82 (+152.4%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $2.41 (-94.5%). This +246.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Yum China Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About YUMC?
13 of 13 models are currently active for YUMC. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates YUMC's intrinsic value at $36.02, implying -17.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does YUMC Rank in Retail-Eating Places?
Among 42 Retail-Eating Places stocks, YUMC ranks #29 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.
See all Most Undervalued Retail-Eating Places Stocks →
The Retail-Eating Places sector introduces analytical considerations specific to consumer businesses. For Yum China Holdings, Inc., metrics like store traffic trends provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is YUMC a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns YUMC a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Yum China Holdings, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Yum China Holdings, Inc. scores 6.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +246.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every YUMC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across YUMC's 13 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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