EPR Properties (EPR) Fair Value 2026

EPR · REIT - Specialty ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, EPR Properties (EPR) trades at $55.27, versus a $59.78 median fair value across its 7 active models — 8.2% above the current price. QOC: 8.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
EPR
Price
$55.27
Quality Score
8.2/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +8.2% upside with 19% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is EPR Properties (EPR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, EPR Properties (EPR) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $59.78, within 8.2% of the current price of $55.27. Estimates range from $28.15 to $94.07. EPR scores 8.2/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. EPR’s +8.2% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the REIT - Specialty sector median is -12.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy EPR Properties Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give EPR?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($55.27)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $59.78 +8.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $48.65 -12.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $28.15 -49.1%
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What Is EPR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $28.15 to $94.07

CirclFi's 7 active models place EPR Properties (EPR) between $28.15 and $94.07 per share, a spread of 110% of the median. The median of that range — $59.78 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for EPR, against a current price of $55.27.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Regime Cross
$28.15median $59.78$94.07
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$28.15
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$94.07
Model agreement4 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for EPR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on EPR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is EPR Properties (EPR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on EPR Properties at $55.27. With an estimated intrinsic value of $59.78 and 4 of 7 models pointing higher, the median implied return is +8.2%. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $94.07 (+70.2%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $28.15 (-49.1%). This +119.3% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about EPR Properties's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About EPR?

7 of 13 models are currently active for EPR. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for EPR is $59.78 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does EPR Rank in REIT - Specialty?

Among 20 REIT - Specialty stocks, EPR ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.2 places EPR in the top tier.

Within the REIT - Specialty space, EPR Properties competes in an environment where occupancy rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is EPR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns EPR a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for EPR Properties. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, EPR Properties's fundamental quality profile registers 8.2/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +119.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every EPR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across EPR's 7 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy EPR Properties Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Specialty Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related REIT - Specialty stocks with 13-model coverage

EQIXEquinix, Inc.QOC 8.3AMTAmerican Tower CorporationQOC 8.0SBACSBA Communications CorporationQOC 8.5GLPIGaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.QOC 7.9LAMRLamar Advertising CompanyQOC 8.5RYNRayonier Inc.QOC 7.9FPIFarmland Partners Inc.QOC 7.4IRMIron Mountain IncorporatedQOC 6.7NLCPNewLake Capital Partners, Inc.QOC 8.8SELFGlobal Self Storage, Inc.QOC 8.7

Read investment analysis: EQIX · AMT · SBAC · GLPI · LAMR · RYN · FPI · IRM · NLCP · SELF

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to EPR?

7 companies across all industries closest to EPR’s Quality of Company score of 8.2/10.

STLDSteel Dynamics, Inc.QOC 8.2ALNTAllient Inc.QOC 8.2ELAEnvela CorporationQOC 8.2GPKGraphic Packaging Holding CompanyQOC 8.2CPAYCorpay, Inc.QOC 8.2SONYSony Group CorporationQOC 8.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: STLD · ALNT · ELA · GPK · CPAY · SONY · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About EPR Properties’s Valuation?

What is EPR Properties's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts EPR Properties (EPR)'s intrinsic value at $59.78 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $28.15 to $94.07. The Quality of Company score is 8.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is EPR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $55.27, 4 of 7 active models suggest EPR may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $59.78, within 8.2% of the current price of $55.27 — a consensus view that EPR is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits EPR Properties's business model in REIT - Specialty.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.2 mean for EPR?

EPR Properties's QOC of 8.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on EPR?

CirclFi analyzes EPR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on EPR?

Of the 7 models currently active on EPR, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $94.07 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $28.15. CirclFi's published fair value for EPR is the median of that range, $59.78, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 110% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is EPR a value trap in 2026?

EPR Properties's Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, EPR Properties (EPR) has a median fair value of $59.78 — within 8.2% of the current price of $55.27 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/EPR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this EPR valuation
  • Financial statements: EPR Properties 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001045450) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for EPR as of ; valuations recomputed .

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